Current National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for Seattle on October 11 indicate a high near 60°F under mostly sunny skies following a frontal passage and northerly flow, aligning with the market's leading 60-61°F bin at 56.5% implied probability. This reflects typical early-October climatology (average daily high near 61.7°F) and model consensus showing minimal cloud cover, light winds, and no precipitation after recent rain. Cooler outcomes below 58°F remain possible if marine air lingers or models trend cooler overnight, while warmer bins above 62°F would require stronger subsidence or delayed clearing not currently supported. Updated NWS guidance and local observations in the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved

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