Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with National Meteorological Center guidance, point to a maximum of 31–32°C in Shenzhen on October 10 under mostly sunny skies, light easterly winds, and minimal cloud cover. This narrow range explains the tight market split between those two outcomes, as small differences in afternoon mixing, urban heat retention, or exact timing of any thin high clouds can shift the peak by 1°C. October climatology shows typical highs near 28–30°C, but the current stable high-pressure pattern favors the warmer side. Final resolution hinges on official station readings, with the next model updates likely to refine boundary-layer details before the market settles.