Recent Central Weather Administration guidance highlights mostly sunny to cloudy conditions persisting through September 30, with minimal cloud cover and light winds supporting strong daytime solar heating across northern Taiwan. This setup favors afternoon highs reaching 35–36 °C in the Taipei basin, where the urban heat island effect amplifies temperatures relative to surrounding areas. Model consensus and historical late-September analogs under similar high-pressure regimes underpin trader emphasis on 36 °C as the modal outcome, though slight northeasterly strengthening by late week introduces modest downside risk for 35 °C. No tropical systems are influencing the region, keeping precipitation probabilities low and maintaining the current warm bias through the resolution window.