Persistent rain and overcast skies across Zhengzhou on September 20, 2026, have suppressed daytime heating, with multiple forecast models and real-time observations converging on a maximum of 23°C. Light northerly winds, high humidity near 80%, and widespread precipitation have limited solar insolation and kept surface temperatures close to the seasonal late-September cooling trend. This aligns with the market’s 94% implied probability for 23°C, reflecting trader confidence in the consensus from numerical weather prediction runs. A sudden clearing of cloud cover or localized subsidence allowing brief solar heating could push readings toward 25°C, though current conditions make significant upward revision unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 20?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 20?
23°C 98%
24°C 9%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 20, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
98%
24°C
9%
25°C
-
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
23°C 98%
24°C 9%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 20, 2026
22°C or below
$5,813 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,230 Vol.
98%
24°C
$301 Vol.
9%
25°C
$254 Vol.
-
26°C
$387 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$882 Vol.
1%
28°C
$46 Vol.
1%
29°C
$41 Vol.
1%
30°C
$41 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$41 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$41 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain and overcast skies across Zhengzhou on September 20, 2026, have suppressed daytime heating, with multiple forecast models and real-time observations converging on a maximum of 23°C. Light northerly winds, high humidity near 80%, and widespread precipitation have limited solar insolation and kept surface temperatures close to the seasonal late-September cooling trend. This aligns with the market’s 94% implied probability for 23°C, reflecting trader confidence in the consensus from numerical weather prediction runs. A sudden clearing of cloud cover or localized subsidence allowing brief solar heating could push readings toward 25°C, though current conditions make significant upward revision unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$9,077End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Sep 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain and overcast skies across Zhengzhou on September 20, 2026, have suppressed daytime heating, with multiple forecast models and real-time observations converging on a maximum of 23°C. Light northerly winds, high humidity near 80%, and widespread precipitation have limited solar insolation and kept surface temperatures close to the seasonal late-September cooling trend. This aligns with the market’s 94% implied probability for 23°C, reflecting trader confidence in the consensus from numerical weather prediction runs. A sudden clearing of cloud cover or localized subsidence allowing brief solar heating could push readings toward 25°C, though current conditions make significant upward revision unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,077End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Sep 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent rain and overcast skies across Zhengzhou on September 20, 2026, have suppressed daytime heating, with multiple forecast models and real-time observations converging on a maximum of 23°C. Light northerly winds, high humidity near 80%, and widespread precipitation have limited solar insolation and kept surface temperatures close to the seasonal late-September cooling trend. This aligns with the market’s 94% implied probability for 23°C, reflecting trader confidence in the consensus from numerical weather prediction runs. A sudden clearing of cloud cover or localized subsidence allowing brief solar heating could push readings toward 25°C, though current conditions make significant upward revision unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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