Beau Bayh holds a narrow edge in trader consensus for the November 3, 2026, Indiana Secretary of State election, reflecting a closely contested race after both major parties selected nominees at their June conventions. Bayh secured the Democratic nod with strong fundraising totals exceeding $2 million in cash on hand and leverages family political name recognition, while Republican Max Engling emerged from a contested convention that ousted incumbent Diego Morales and now emphasizes election integrity measures. Independent Greg Ballard’s potential ballot access adds uncertainty by drawing from moderate or crossover voters, keeping probabilities compressed near even odds. No major new polling has shifted the outlook since summer, leaving the outcome sensitive to turnout patterns and any late campaign developments in this traditionally Republican-leaning office.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beau Bayh (D)
53%

Max Engling (R)
43%

Beau Bayh (D)
53%

Max Engling (R)
43%
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 1:56 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Beau Bayh holds a narrow edge in trader consensus for the November 3, 2026, Indiana Secretary of State election, reflecting a closely contested race after both major parties selected nominees at their June conventions. Bayh secured the Democratic nod with strong fundraising totals exceeding $2 million in cash on hand and leverages family political name recognition, while Republican Max Engling emerged from a contested convention that ousted incumbent Diego Morales and now emphasizes election integrity measures. Independent Greg Ballard’s potential ballot access adds uncertainty by drawing from moderate or crossover voters, keeping probabilities compressed near even odds. No major new polling has shifted the outlook since summer, leaving the outcome sensitive to turnout patterns and any late campaign developments in this traditionally Republican-leaning office.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions