Joseph Aoun assumed Lebanon’s presidency in January 2025 following a prolonged vacancy, securing election with broad parliamentary support after serving as army commander. His six-year term extends well beyond December 2026, and recent months have shown him actively advancing U.S.- and French-backed diplomatic initiatives on Hezbollah disarmament, border security talks with Israel, and international funding for the Lebanese Armed Forces ahead of the UNIFIL mandate’s end. No parliamentary moves, constitutional challenges, or major coalition shifts have emerged to shorten his tenure, leaving the consensus against an early exit anchored in the stability of his mandate and the focus on ongoing negotiations rather than leadership change.