**Current forecast consensus from global models points to a minimum temperature near 13–14°C in Cape Town overnight into October 10 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds.** This places the outcome near the middle of the listed buckets while the near-even 49% market-implied odds on the 9°C-or-below and 19°C-or-higher extremes reflect residual uncertainty in short-range radiative cooling and boundary-layer mixing. Clear conditions overnight favor greater heat loss from the surface, potentially nudging readings a degree or two lower than daytime guidance, whereas any increase in low cloud or stronger onshore flow would limit that drop. October climatology shows typical overnight lows of 12–14°C, so the current setup aligns with seasonal norms rather than an anomalous cold or warm surge. Updated model runs and official South African Weather Service guidance ahead of the evening hours will be the key data points traders monitor for resolution.