**Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a stable warm pattern over Chongqing, with minimum temperatures on October 9 expected near 20–22°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds.** This autumnal setup, influenced by a lingering subtropical ridge and limited cold-air advection, aligns with above-average conditions for early October when historical lows average around 16–17°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 46% implied probability for 25°C or higher and the clustered 34% odds across 16–24°C buckets appears driven by these model outputs showing minimal overnight cooling, while the low 5% on 15°C or below underscores the low likelihood of a sharp frontal passage before resolution. Updated model runs and official station data on the day will determine the final minimum reading.