**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources currently project overnight lows in Denver on October 5 in the low to mid-50s°F under mostly clear skies and light southwesterly flow.** This pattern, driven by a persistent warm ridge and dry air mass, supports the market's elevated implied probability for readings above 50°F while keeping the chance of 47°F or below very low at 4%. Historical October 5 averages near 41°F highlight how the current setup deviates from climatology, with recent model runs showing minimal cooling overnight. Traders appear to weigh the consensus on mild conditions against typical model spread in the final 48 hours before resolution, as new National Weather Service updates and local observations will refine the exact minimum.