Current National Weather Service and private model guidance for Houston on October 10 points to a daily minimum in the mid-to-upper 60s under clear skies, light northeast-to-southeast winds, and continued high pressure, conditions that favor moderate overnight radiative cooling but limit further drops. This places the most likely outcome near the 64–70°F range, with limited model spread and no significant frontal passage or moisture return expected to alter the thermal profile before the minimum occurs. The near-even market split between sub-64°F and much warmer outcomes reflects residual uncertainty in exact radiational cooling rates and boundary-layer mixing, typical for early-October nights when dew points remain in the upper 50s. Updated NWS forecast discussions and next model runs will provide the clearest near-term signal ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved

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