Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate persistent warm, moist southeast flow across Houston, with Tuesday night lows forecast near 78–80°F under mostly cloudy skies as a trough approaches. This aligns with the ongoing warm anomaly, where recent overnight minima have held in the upper 60s to mid-70s amid high pressure and light winds. The close market-implied odds between sub-70°F and 76–77°F bins reflect trader focus on potential model cooling from increased cloud cover and early moisture, versus the current consensus for minimal diurnal cooling in this regime. Official resolution will hinge on the lowest hourly observation at primary stations, with the next NHC/NOAA updates likely to refine steering and boundary-layer details.