Recent forecast models from sources including the Met Office and WeatherBug indicate a minimum temperature near 29°C for Jeddah on October 3, consistent with early-October climatology where nighttime lows average 25–28°C amid Red Sea humidity and light westerly winds. The near-even split between the 24°C-or-below and 34°C-or-higher outcomes reflects genuine short-term uncertainty in local steering patterns and any late-model cooling from increased cloud cover or wind shifts, while the cluster of 25–33°C probabilities captures the typical daily range. Traders are weighting current ensemble guidance against historical variability, with resolution hinging on the final observed low reported by official stations. Updated model runs expected within 24 hours could shift sentiment if they deviate from the warm baseline.