Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for New York City on October 2 points to a mild overnight minimum driven by southwesterly flow ahead of a cold front, with projected lows clustered between the mid-50s and upper 60s Fahrenheit. This range aligns with trader emphasis on the 68-69°F bin at 45% implied probability while supporting secondary interest in 61°F or below and 62-63°F outcomes near 26% each. Historical October 2 averages near 56°F provide context, yet the current warm anomaly and limited model spread keep higher bins favored until updated runs or observations arrive. Upcoming NHC and local forecast discussions tonight will likely refine the exact minimum threshold ahead of market resolution.