Recent forecasts from the Qingdao Meteorological Bureau and international models show mild conditions for October 3, with expected lows near 16–19°C driven by southerly flow and limited cold air advection ahead of a weak frontal passage. Coastal moderation and cloud cover or light rain overnight help prevent sharp radiative cooling, while daytime highs around 22–24°C reflect residual warmth. Model consensus places the overnight minimum in this range, though small timing shifts in winds or precipitation could alter the exact low by 1–2°C. Trader odds near 50% for 14°C or below versus 24°C or higher reflect this narrow uncertainty band, with historical early-October coastal baselines around 15–18°C providing context for the tight distribution. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria.