Current numerical weather models from Chinese meteorological services and global forecasters converge on a daily minimum of 20–22°C for Qingdao on September 28 under mostly cloudy skies with light easterly or southerly winds of 3–4 on the Beaufort scale. This consensus places the expected low well above the cooler bucket and below the warmer one, reflecting stable late-September conditions without an approaching cold front or significant warm advection. The near-even market odds on the 14°C-or-below and 24°C-or-higher outcomes capture residual uncertainty in overnight model runs, local measurement site variations, or possible late adjustments to steering patterns, while specific-temperature probabilities cluster around the 18–21°C range consistent with ensemble guidance. Updated forecasts and early-morning observations on the 28th will provide the next key data points for resolution.