Current forecasts from NOAA and other models point to a San Francisco overnight low in the mid- to upper-50s on September 30 under clear skies and moderate westerly onshore flow, keeping the marine layer in place and limiting radiational cooling. This setup aligns with late-September climatology, where average lows hover near 56°F amid persistent Pacific influence and light winds that prevent sharp drops. Trader sentiment remains split across the 47°F-or-below and 56-57°F bins because small shifts in wind speed, marine-layer depth, or localized fog formation—common in the Golden Gate corridor—could easily push readings a few degrees cooler or warmer depending on the exact measurement site. New model runs and NWS updates over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved

Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions