Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a minimum temperature near 24°C for Tokyo on August 6 under cloudy conditions, aligning with the seasonal normal of 23.9°C and limited nighttime radiative cooling from high humidity and cloud cover. Trader consensus clustering on 25–26°C reflects the urban heat island effect in central Tokyo, where concrete and reduced sky view factors typically elevate overnight lows by 1–2°C above rural baselines, plus minor spread in ensemble model runs from global guidance. With resolution hinging on official JMA observations at the central station, any clearer skies or stronger winds could allow modest additional cooling toward the lower tail of probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 6?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 6?
25°C 47%
26°C 42%
24°C 3%
27°C 1.7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 6, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
47%
26°C
42%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 47%
26°C 42%
24°C 3%
27°C 1.7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 6, 2026
20°C or below
$347 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$156 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$177 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$161 Vol.
1%
24°C
$179 Vol.
3%
25°C
$452 Vol.
47%
26°C
$355 Vol.
42%
27°C
$243 Vol.
2%
28°C
$296 Vol.
1%
29°C
$215 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$307 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a minimum temperature near 24°C for Tokyo on August 6 under cloudy conditions, aligning with the seasonal normal of 23.9°C and limited nighttime radiative cooling from high humidity and cloud cover. Trader consensus clustering on 25–26°C reflects the urban heat island effect in central Tokyo, where concrete and reduced sky view factors typically elevate overnight lows by 1–2°C above rural baselines, plus minor spread in ensemble model runs from global guidance. With resolution hinging on official JMA observations at the central station, any clearer skies or stronger winds could allow modest additional cooling toward the lower tail of probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$2,889End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a minimum temperature near 24°C for Tokyo on August 6 under cloudy conditions, aligning with the seasonal normal of 23.9°C and limited nighttime radiative cooling from high humidity and cloud cover. Trader consensus clustering on 25–26°C reflects the urban heat island effect in central Tokyo, where concrete and reduced sky view factors typically elevate overnight lows by 1–2°C above rural baselines, plus minor spread in ensemble model runs from global guidance. With resolution hinging on official JMA observations at the central station, any clearer skies or stronger winds could allow modest additional cooling toward the lower tail of probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,889End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a minimum temperature near 24°C for Tokyo on August 6 under cloudy conditions, aligning with the seasonal normal of 23.9°C and limited nighttime radiative cooling from high humidity and cloud cover. Trader consensus clustering on 25–26°C reflects the urban heat island effect in central Tokyo, where concrete and reduced sky view factors typically elevate overnight lows by 1–2°C above rural baselines, plus minor spread in ensemble model runs from global guidance. With resolution hinging on official JMA observations at the central station, any clearer skies or stronger winds could allow modest additional cooling toward the lower tail of probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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