Skip to main content
icon for Mastercard (MA) Q2 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis)?

Mastercard (MA) Q2 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis)?

icon for Mastercard (MA) Q2 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis)?

Mastercard (MA) Q2 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis)?

6.5%-7.5% 50%

9.5%+ 50%

<6.5% 49%

7.5%-8.5% 49%

Polymarket
NEW

6.5%-7.5% 50%

9.5%+ 50%

<6.5% 49%

7.5%-8.5% 49%

Polymarket
NEW

<6.5%

$0 Vol.

49%

6.5%-7.5%

$0 Vol.

50%

7.5%-8.5%

$0 Vol.

49%

8.5%-9.5%

$202 Vol.

49%

9.5%+

$0 Vol.

50%

This market will resolve according to Mastercard's gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) (year-over-year) for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.Mastercard's Q2 2026 gross dollar volume (GDV) growth on a local currency basis faces balanced trader sentiment across the 6.5-9.5% ranges, reflecting uncertainty ahead of the July 30 earnings release. Q1 delivered 7% growth, while Q2 2025 reached 9%, with consensus estimates pointing to around 9% amid moderating global GDP and stable consumer spending. Key swing factors include cross-border volume trends (up 13-15% recently but facing potential Middle East headwinds), U.S. debit versus credit mix shifts, and broader macroeconomic data such as inflation and employment releases that influence spending. Competitive dynamics with Visa and the contribution of value-added services to overall results add further variables, leaving the exact GDV figure contested until actual operational metrics are disclosed.

This market will resolve according to Mastercard's gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) (year-over-year) for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.

The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.

If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.

The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.

Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Volume
$202
End Date
Jul 30, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 18, 2026, 4:02 PM ET
This market will resolve according to Mastercard's gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) (year-over-year) for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
This market will resolve according to Mastercard's gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) (year-over-year) for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.Mastercard's Q2 2026 gross dollar volume (GDV) growth on a local currency basis faces balanced trader sentiment across the 6.5-9.5% ranges, reflecting uncertainty ahead of the July 30 earnings release. Q1 delivered 7% growth, while Q2 2025 reached 9%, with consensus estimates pointing to around 9% amid moderating global GDP and stable consumer spending. Key swing factors include cross-border volume trends (up 13-15% recently but facing potential Middle East headwinds), U.S. debit versus credit mix shifts, and broader macroeconomic data such as inflation and employment releases that influence spending. Competitive dynamics with Visa and the contribution of value-added services to overall results add further variables, leaving the exact GDV figure contested until actual operational metrics are disclosed.

This market will resolve according to Mastercard's gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) (year-over-year) for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.

The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.

If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.

The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.

Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Volume
$202
End Date
Jul 30, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 18, 2026, 4:02 PM ET
This market will resolve according to Mastercard's gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) (year-over-year) for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Mastercard (MA) Q2 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis)?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "6.5%-7.5%" at 50%, followed by "9.5%+" at 50%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Mastercard (MA) Q2 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis)?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 18, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Mastercard (MA) Q2 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis)?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Mastercard (MA) Q2 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis)?" is "6.5%-7.5%" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "9.5%+" at 50%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Mastercard (MA) Q2 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis)?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.