Meta's stock has traded in a volatile range near $590 following its July 29 earnings miss on EPS, softer Q3 guidance, and confirmation of $130-145 billion in 2026 AI infrastructure spending. Traders are weighing a post-earnings rebound driven by ad revenue strength and data center expansion plans against mounting legal risks from the ongoing child safety and addiction trial that began this month, with potential liabilities in the trillions. Broader tech sector moves and any intraday updates from the courtroom proceedings represent the key near-term swing factors for the August 19 close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$540
70%
$550
34%
$560
12%
$570
10%
$580
11%
$0.00 Vol.
$540
70%
$550
34%
$560
12%
$570
10%
$580
11%
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.META%2FUSD.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.META%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.META%2FUSD.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.META%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Meta's stock has traded in a volatile range near $590 following its July 29 earnings miss on EPS, softer Q3 guidance, and confirmation of $130-145 billion in 2026 AI infrastructure spending. Traders are weighing a post-earnings rebound driven by ad revenue strength and data center expansion plans against mounting legal risks from the ongoing child safety and addiction trial that began this month, with potential liabilities in the trillions. Broader tech sector moves and any intraday updates from the courtroom proceedings represent the key near-term swing factors for the August 19 close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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