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Sports·Awards

MLB: 2026 AL Cy Young Winner

icon for MLB: 2026 AL Cy Young Winner
Sports·Awards

MLB: 2026 AL Cy Young Winner

Cam Schlittler 29.3%

Dylan Cease 21.8%

Jacob deGrom 15.0%

Parker Messick 7.5%

Polymarket

$36,623 Vol.

Cam Schlittler 29.3%

Dylan Cease 21.8%

Jacob deGrom 15.0%

Parker Messick 7.5%

Polymarket

$36,623 Vol.

Tarik Skubal

$9,478 Vol.

6%

Garrett Crochet

$2,341 Vol.

1%

Jacob deGrom

$1,871 Vol.

15%

Cole Ragans

$853 Vol.

1%

Hunter Brown

$333 Vol.

1%

Max Fried

$1,943 Vol.

1%

Bryan Woo

$1,161 Vol.

4%

Logan Gilbert

$866 Vol.

1%

Kyle Bradish

$302 Vol.

1%

Joe Ryan

$606 Vol.

1%

Ranger Suarez

$271 Vol.

1%

Nathan Eovaldi

$225 Vol.

<1%

Dylan Cease

$1,239 Vol.

22%

George Kirby

$580 Vol.

1%

Carlos Rodón

$486 Vol.

1%

Kevin Gausman

$604 Vol.

1%

MacKenzie Gore

$563 Vol.

<1%

Jose Soriano

$2,255 Vol.

4%

Pablo Lopez

$1,129 Vol.

1%

Gavin Williams

$650 Vol.

1%

Bryce Miller

$173 Vol.

1%

Cam Schlittler

$6,498 Vol.

29%

Gerrit Cole

$226 Vol.

<1%

Parker Messick

$1,977 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Cy Young Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cam Schlittler’s elite early-season command has anchored trader consensus in the 2026 AL Cy Young market, with the Yankees right-hander posting the league’s lowest qualified ERA near 1.35 while ranking among the leaders in strikeouts and fWAR through roughly ten starts. Dylan Cease sits close behind on the strength of his strikeout volume and improved control with the Blue Jays, while Jacob deGrom’s efficient outings have kept him in the top tier. The bunched probabilities reflect a wide-open race after injuries sidelined previous frontrunners, leaving multiple starters with comparable strikeout rates, low walk totals, and strong run prevention in the first two months.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Cy Young Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$36,623
End Date
Nov 12, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 18, 2026, 10:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Cy Young Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Cy Young Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cam Schlittler’s elite early-season command has anchored trader consensus in the 2026 AL Cy Young market, with the Yankees right-hander posting the league’s lowest qualified ERA near 1.35 while ranking among the leaders in strikeouts and fWAR through roughly ten starts. Dylan Cease sits close behind on the strength of his strikeout volume and improved control with the Blue Jays, while Jacob deGrom’s efficient outings have kept him in the top tier. The bunched probabilities reflect a wide-open race after injuries sidelined previous frontrunners, leaving multiple starters with comparable strikeout rates, low walk totals, and strong run prevention in the first two months.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Cy Young Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$36,623
End Date
Nov 12, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 18, 2026, 10:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Cy Young Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: 2026 AL Cy Young Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 24 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Cam Schlittler" at 29%, followed by "Dylan Cease" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 29¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 29% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: 2026 AL Cy Young Winner" has generated $36.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: 2026 AL Cy Young Winner," browse the 24 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: 2026 AL Cy Young Winner" is "Cam Schlittler" at 29%, meaning the market assigns a 29% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Dylan Cease" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: 2026 AL Cy Young Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.