Cam Schlittler’s commanding 97.9% implied probability stems from his elite 2026 campaign as the Yankees’ ace, where he posted an AL-leading 1.94 ERA, 0.91 WHIP, 234 strikeouts across 190.2 innings, and 5.9 WAR through 32 starts while allowing one run or fewer in a league-high 21 outings. The 25-year-old right-hander has extended his dominance into September with consistent quality starts and strikeout totals that outpace challengers like Dylan Cease, whose higher walk rates and slightly elevated ERA have left him far behind in voter consensus and advanced metrics. Late-season health or a sharp decline in his final outings remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before ballots close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCam Schlittler 97.9%
Dylan Cease 1.6%
Drew Rasmussen <1%
Sonny Gray <1%
$1,292,151 Vol.
$1,292,151 Vol.
Tarik Skubal
<1%
Garrett Crochet
<1%
Jacob deGrom
<1%
Cole Ragans
<1%
Hunter Brown
<1%
Max Fried
<1%
Bryan Woo
<1%
Logan Gilbert
<1%
Kyle Bradish
<1%
Joe Ryan
<1%
Ranger Suarez
<1%
Nathan Eovaldi
<1%
Dylan Cease
2%
George Kirby
<1%
Carlos Rodón
<1%
Kevin Gausman
<1%
MacKenzie Gore
<1%
Jose Soriano
<1%
Pablo Lopez
<1%
Gavin Williams
<1%
Bryce Miller
<1%
Cam Schlittler
98%
Gerrit Cole
<1%
Parker Messick
<1%
Drew Rasmussen
<1%
Sean Burke
<1%
Sonny Gray
<1%
Cam Schlittler 97.9%
Dylan Cease 1.6%
Drew Rasmussen <1%
Sonny Gray <1%
$1,292,151 Vol.
$1,292,151 Vol.
Tarik Skubal
<1%
Garrett Crochet
<1%
Jacob deGrom
<1%
Cole Ragans
<1%
Hunter Brown
<1%
Max Fried
<1%
Bryan Woo
<1%
Logan Gilbert
<1%
Kyle Bradish
<1%
Joe Ryan
<1%
Ranger Suarez
<1%
Nathan Eovaldi
<1%
Dylan Cease
2%
George Kirby
<1%
Carlos Rodón
<1%
Kevin Gausman
<1%
MacKenzie Gore
<1%
Jose Soriano
<1%
Pablo Lopez
<1%
Gavin Williams
<1%
Bryce Miller
<1%
Cam Schlittler
98%
Gerrit Cole
<1%
Parker Messick
<1%
Drew Rasmussen
<1%
Sean Burke
<1%
Sonny Gray
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 18, 2026, 10:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Cam Schlittler’s commanding 97.9% implied probability stems from his elite 2026 campaign as the Yankees’ ace, where he posted an AL-leading 1.94 ERA, 0.91 WHIP, 234 strikeouts across 190.2 innings, and 5.9 WAR through 32 starts while allowing one run or fewer in a league-high 21 outings. The 25-year-old right-hander has extended his dominance into September with consistent quality starts and strikeout totals that outpace challengers like Dylan Cease, whose higher walk rates and slightly elevated ERA have left him far behind in voter consensus and advanced metrics. Late-season health or a sharp decline in his final outings remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before ballots close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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