The tightly bunched probabilities for MLS 2026 Defender of the Year reflect a wide-open race with no center back separating from the pack in key metrics such as clean sheets, aerial duel wins, tackles, and progressive passes completed. Miguel Tapias, Dave Romney, Michael Boxall, and Donovan Pines post comparable numbers while anchoring competitive back lines, with recent form and team defensive results keeping their implied probabilities clustered near 30-36%. Several other veterans like Marcelo Silva and Kamal Miller maintain realistic chances through consistent minutes and contributions in high-pressing systems, underscoring how situational factors and squad depth continue to shape trader consensus heading into the final weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedJack Maher 25.3%
Mauricio Pineda 25.2%
Andreas Maxsø 24.8%
Kamal Miller 13.1%
$907,013 Vol.
$907,013 Vol.
Jack Maher
25%
Mauricio Pineda
25%
Andreas Maxsø
25%
Kamal Miller
13%
Donovan Pines
13%
Andrew Privett
12%
Matt Miazga
11%
Tristan Blackmon
24%
Marcelo Silva
6%
Tomás Avilés
6%
Andrés Reyes
6%
Dany Rosero
5%
Rodrigues
5%
Birk Risa
4%
Eddie Segura
4%
David Brekalo
4%
Jack Elliott
4%
Oleksandr Svatok
4%
Jalen Neal
4%
Jakob Glesnes
4%
Tim Parker
4%
Miles Robinson
4%
Henry Kessler
4%
Yevhen Cheberko
4%
Miguel Tapias
4%
Daniel Munie
4%
Ranko Veselinović
4%
Robert Voloder
4%
Walker Zimmerman
3%
Lalas Abubakar
3%
Joel Waterman
3%
Maximiliano Falcón
3%
Jackson Ragen
3%
Brendan Hines-Ike
3%
Nkosi Tafari
3%
Erik Sviatchenko
2%
Lucas Bartlett
2%
Christopher McVey
2%
Sigurd Rosted
2%
Yeimar Gómez Andrade
1%
Enea Mihaj
1%
Aaron Long
1%
Gabriele Corbo
1%
Micael
13%
Noah Eile
1%
Kevin Long
1%
Thiago Martins
1%
Stian Gregersen
1%
Joakim Nilsson
1%
Michael Boxall
12%
Carlos Terán
25%
Zac McGraw
<1%
Robin Jansson
<1%
Dave Romney
25%
Justen Glad
<1%
Maya Yoshida
<1%
Adilson Malanda
7%
Rudy Camacho
<1%
Sebastien Ibeagha
<1%
Sean Nealis
<1%
Jack Maher 25.3%
Mauricio Pineda 25.2%
Andreas Maxsø 24.8%
Kamal Miller 13.1%
$907,013 Vol.
$907,013 Vol.
Jack Maher
25%
Mauricio Pineda
25%
Andreas Maxsø
25%
Kamal Miller
13%
Donovan Pines
13%
Andrew Privett
12%
Matt Miazga
11%
Tristan Blackmon
24%
Marcelo Silva
6%
Tomás Avilés
6%
Andrés Reyes
6%
Dany Rosero
5%
Rodrigues
5%
Birk Risa
4%
Eddie Segura
4%
David Brekalo
4%
Jack Elliott
4%
Oleksandr Svatok
4%
Jalen Neal
4%
Jakob Glesnes
4%
Tim Parker
4%
Miles Robinson
4%
Henry Kessler
4%
Yevhen Cheberko
4%
Miguel Tapias
4%
Daniel Munie
4%
Ranko Veselinović
4%
Robert Voloder
4%
Walker Zimmerman
3%
Lalas Abubakar
3%
Joel Waterman
3%
Maximiliano Falcón
3%
Jackson Ragen
3%
Brendan Hines-Ike
3%
Nkosi Tafari
3%
Erik Sviatchenko
2%
Lucas Bartlett
2%
Christopher McVey
2%
Sigurd Rosted
2%
Yeimar Gómez Andrade
1%
Enea Mihaj
1%
Aaron Long
1%
Gabriele Corbo
1%
Micael
13%
Noah Eile
1%
Kevin Long
1%
Thiago Martins
1%
Stian Gregersen
1%
Joakim Nilsson
1%
Michael Boxall
12%
Carlos Terán
25%
Zac McGraw
<1%
Robin Jansson
<1%
Dave Romney
25%
Justen Glad
<1%
Maya Yoshida
<1%
Adilson Malanda
7%
Rudy Camacho
<1%
Sebastien Ibeagha
<1%
Sean Nealis
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 17, 2026, 2:56 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The tightly bunched probabilities for MLS 2026 Defender of the Year reflect a wide-open race with no center back separating from the pack in key metrics such as clean sheets, aerial duel wins, tackles, and progressive passes completed. Miguel Tapias, Dave Romney, Michael Boxall, and Donovan Pines post comparable numbers while anchoring competitive back lines, with recent form and team defensive results keeping their implied probabilities clustered near 30-36%. Several other veterans like Marcelo Silva and Kamal Miller maintain realistic chances through consistent minutes and contributions in high-pressing systems, underscoring how situational factors and squad depth continue to shape trader consensus heading into the final weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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