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Desporto·MLS

MLS: Vencedor da Bota de Ouro de 2026

icon for MLS: Vencedor da Bota de Ouro de 2026
Desporto·MLS

MLS: Vencedor da Bota de Ouro de 2026

Lionel Messi 49.9%

Sam Surridge 21.5%

Hugo Cuypers 18.8%

Milan Iloski 13.3%

Polymarket

$877,662 Vol.

Lionel Messi 49.9%

Sam Surridge 21.5%

Hugo Cuypers 18.8%

Milan Iloski 13.3%

Polymarket

$877,662 Vol.

Lionel Messi

$874 Vol.

37%

Sam Surridge

$239 Vol.

22%

Hugo Cuypers

$351 Vol.

19%

Milan Iloski

$224 Vol.

13%

Martín Ojeda

$304 Vol.

12%

Idan Toklomati

$197 Vol.

7%

Prince-Osei Owusu

$10,769 Vol.

6%

Petar Musa

$422 Vol.

4%

Anders Dreyer

$251 Vol.

1%

Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting

$457,169 Vol.

1%

Evander

$260 Vol.

1%

Djordje Mihailovic

$187 Vol.

1%

Tai Baribo

$26,302 Vol.

1%

Cheikh Sabaly

$188 Vol.

<1%

Dejan Joveljić

$261 Vol.

<1%

Hany Mukhtar

$228 Vol.

<1%

Philip Zinckernagel

$221 Vol.

<1%

Brian White

$318 Vol.

<1%

Danny Musovski

$307 Vol.

<1%

Tadeo Allende

$236,471 Vol.

<1%

Albert Rusnák

$67,037 Vol.

<1%

Germán Berterame

$73,641 Vol.

<1%

Denis Bouanga

$304 Vol.

<1%

Alonso Martínez

$256 Vol.

<1%

Diego Rossi

$261 Vol.

<1%

Kévin Denkey

$196 Vol.

<1%

Marco Pašalić

$241 Vol.

<1%

Louis Munteanu

$186 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 MLS Golden Boot. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tight clustering of probabilities in the MLS 2026 Golden Boot market stems from a crowded leaderboard midway through the season, where Hugo Cuypers leads with 13 goals for Chicago Fire while Lionel Messi and Petar Musa sit just one behind for Inter Miami and FC Dallas. Denis Bouanga holds the highest implied probability due to his proven consistency as the 2023 winner and LAFC’s reliable attacking setup that generates steady chances. Sam Surridge’s positioning reflects Nashville’s forward depth and favorable remaining schedule, while recent tallies from Martín Ojeda and others keep multiple realistic paths open. With roughly half the regular season remaining, small margins in form, minutes, and team fixtures continue to compress the field among these forwards.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 MLS Golden Boot.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$877,662
Data de Término
22 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 18, 2026, 1:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 MLS Golden Boot. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 MLS Golden Boot. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tight clustering of probabilities in the MLS 2026 Golden Boot market stems from a crowded leaderboard midway through the season, where Hugo Cuypers leads with 13 goals for Chicago Fire while Lionel Messi and Petar Musa sit just one behind for Inter Miami and FC Dallas. Denis Bouanga holds the highest implied probability due to his proven consistency as the 2023 winner and LAFC’s reliable attacking setup that generates steady chances. Sam Surridge’s positioning reflects Nashville’s forward depth and favorable remaining schedule, while recent tallies from Martín Ojeda and others keep multiple realistic paths open. With roughly half the regular season remaining, small margins in form, minutes, and team fixtures continue to compress the field among these forwards.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 MLS Golden Boot.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$877,662
Data de Término
22 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 18, 2026, 1:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 MLS Golden Boot. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"MLS: Vencedor da Bota de Ouro de 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 28 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Lionel Messi" at 37%, followed by "Sam Surridge" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLS: Vencedor da Bota de Ouro de 2026" has generated $877.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 18, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLS: Vencedor da Bota de Ouro de 2026," browse the 28 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLS: Vencedor da Bota de Ouro de 2026" is "Lionel Messi" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sam Surridge" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLS: Vencedor da Bota de Ouro de 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.