The bunched probabilities around 50% for several entrants and a long tail of 20-35% names reflect deep parity among entry fraggers and duelists across the 16 qualified teams ahead of the Shanghai group stage. Players such as Kicks, jawgemo, Cryocells, and lukxo enter with strong recent opening-duel rates from Stage 2 and international events, while roster depth on squads like 100 Thieves, Paper Rex, and Karmine Corp spreads first-blood volume across multiple maps in the double-elimination bracket. No single statistical outlier dominates pre-tournament leaderboards, and the format’s variable map count plus stylistic matchups further compress the field, keeping implied probabilities tightly contested until live results begin.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updatedsomething (PRX) 81%
mada 77%
SUYGETSU 69%
Kicks 67%
NEW
NEW
Nov 17, 2026
something (PRX)
81%
mada
77%
SUYGETSU
69%
Kicks
67%
GSR
66%
jawgemo
66%
Francis
66%
kamo
65%
invy
65%
d4v41
65%
BABYBAY
65%
valyn
65%
LewN
65%
Dambi
65%
keiko
65%
Rarga
53%
bang
47%
erde
45%
trent
45%
N4RRATE
41%
brawk
41%
Rb
40%
dos9
37%
Lysoar
36%
Jinggg
34%
Ivy
34%
trexx
33%
f0rsakeN
33%
Avez
33%
Xross
33%
skuba
33%
Ethan
33%
NoMan
33%
WsLeo
33%
happywei
33%
leaf
31%
vora
25%
Timotino
25%
jkuro
25%
BerLIN
25%
Munchkin
25%
lukxo
25%
nobody (EDG)
25%
Chronicle
25%
PROFEK
25%
Scales
25%
Cryocells
24%
BuZz
24%
PatMen
24%
Derke
24%
nAts
24%
s0pp
24%
CHICHOO
24%
Jieni7
24%
Sayonara
24%
splash
24%
Yuicaw
23%
sociablEE
23%
xeus
23%
UdoTan
23%
Darker
23%
slowly
23%
zhe
23%
crownfisher
23%
iZu
23%
Kr1stal
23%
xavi8k
23%
ZmjjKK
23%
Smoggy
23%
stew
23%
Jamppi
23%
SiuFatBB
23%
Erv
23%
Meteor
22%
tkzin
22%
Asuna
22%
stax
22%
DaviH
22%
yetujey
21%
Autumn
13%
KROSTALY
6%
something (PRX) 81%
mada 77%
SUYGETSU 69%
Kicks 67%
NEW
NEW
Nov 17, 2026
something (PRX)
$0 Vol.
81%
mada
$0 Vol.
77%
SUYGETSU
$0 Vol.
69%
Kicks
$0 Vol.
67%
GSR
$0 Vol.
66%
jawgemo
$0 Vol.
66%
Francis
$0 Vol.
66%
kamo
$0 Vol.
65%
invy
$0 Vol.
65%
d4v41
$0 Vol.
65%
BABYBAY
$0 Vol.
65%
valyn
$0 Vol.
65%
LewN
$0 Vol.
65%
Dambi
$0 Vol.
65%
keiko
$0 Vol.
65%
Rarga
$0 Vol.
53%
bang
$0 Vol.
47%
erde
$0 Vol.
45%
trent
$0 Vol.
45%
N4RRATE
$0 Vol.
41%
brawk
$0 Vol.
41%
Rb
$0 Vol.
40%
dos9
$0 Vol.
37%
Lysoar
$0 Vol.
36%
Jinggg
$0 Vol.
34%
Ivy
$0 Vol.
34%
trexx
$0 Vol.
33%
f0rsakeN
$0 Vol.
33%
Avez
$0 Vol.
33%
Xross
$0 Vol.
33%
skuba
$0 Vol.
33%
Ethan
$0 Vol.
33%
NoMan
$0 Vol.
33%
WsLeo
$0 Vol.
33%
happywei
$0 Vol.
33%
leaf
$0 Vol.
31%
vora
$0 Vol.
25%
Timotino
$0 Vol.
25%
jkuro
$0 Vol.
25%
BerLIN
$0 Vol.
25%
Munchkin
$0 Vol.
25%
lukxo
$0 Vol.
25%
nobody (EDG)
$0 Vol.
25%
Chronicle
$0 Vol.
25%
PROFEK
$0 Vol.
25%
Scales
$0 Vol.
25%
Cryocells
$0 Vol.
24%
BuZz
$0 Vol.
24%
PatMen
$0 Vol.
24%
Derke
$0 Vol.
24%
nAts
$0 Vol.
24%
s0pp
$0 Vol.
24%
CHICHOO
$0 Vol.
24%
Jieni7
$0 Vol.
24%
Sayonara
$0 Vol.
24%
splash
$0 Vol.
24%
Yuicaw
$0 Vol.
23%
sociablEE
$0 Vol.
23%
xeus
$0 Vol.
23%
UdoTan
$0 Vol.
23%
Darker
$0 Vol.
23%
slowly
$0 Vol.
23%
zhe
$0 Vol.
23%
crownfisher
$0 Vol.
23%
iZu
$0 Vol.
23%
Kr1stal
$0 Vol.
23%
xavi8k
$0 Vol.
23%
ZmjjKK
$0 Vol.
23%
Smoggy
$0 Vol.
23%
stew
$0 Vol.
23%
Jamppi
$0 Vol.
23%
SiuFatBB
$0 Vol.
23%
Erv
$0 Vol.
23%
Meteor
$0 Vol.
22%
tkzin
$0 Vol.
22%
Asuna
$0 Vol.
22%
stax
$0 Vol.
22%
DaviH
$0 Vol.
22%
yetujey
$0 Vol.
21%
Autumn
$0 Vol.
13%
KROSTALY
$0 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to which player records the most first bloods across all maps played during VALORANT Champions 2026 (also known as VCT Champions 2026), currently scheduled for September 24 to October 18, 2026, in Shanghai, China. A first blood is the first kill of a round, recorded as a First Kill (FK) in the official statistics.
First bloods recorded in overtime rounds count. Only completed maps count.
If two or more players are tied for the most first bloods, this market will resolve to the player with the fewer first deaths (FD) across the entire event. If a tie persists, this market will resolve to the player with the higher total kills across the entire event. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed in-game name comes first alphabetically.
If a player not listed in this market records the most first bloods, this market will resolve to "Other".
If VALORANT Champions 2026 is canceled, or is postponed such that it has not concluded by November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the vlr.gg event stats page (https://www.vlr.gg/event/stats/2766/valorant-champions-2026), using the FK (First Kills) column. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The bunched probabilities around 50% for several entrants and a long tail of 20-35% names reflect deep parity among entry fraggers and duelists across the 16 qualified teams ahead of the Shanghai group stage. Players such as Kicks, jawgemo, Cryocells, and lukxo enter with strong recent opening-duel rates from Stage 2 and international events, while roster depth on squads like 100 Thieves, Paper Rex, and Karmine Corp spreads first-blood volume across multiple maps in the double-elimination bracket. No single statistical outlier dominates pre-tournament leaderboards, and the format’s variable map count plus stylistic matchups further compress the field, keeping implied probabilities tightly contested until live results begin.
This market will resolve according to which player records the most first bloods across all maps played during VALORANT Champions 2026 (also known as VCT Champions 2026), currently scheduled for September 24 to October 18, 2026, in Shanghai, China. A first blood is the first kill of a round, recorded as a First Kill (FK) in the official statistics.
First bloods recorded in overtime rounds count. Only completed maps count.
If two or more players are tied for the most first bloods, this market will resolve to the player with the fewer first deaths (FD) across the entire event. If a tie persists, this market will resolve to the player with the higher total kills across the entire event. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed in-game name comes first alphabetically.
If a player not listed in this market records the most first bloods, this market will resolve to "Other".
If VALORANT Champions 2026 is canceled, or is postponed such that it has not concluded by November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the vlr.gg event stats page (https://www.vlr.gg/event/stats/2766/valorant-champions-2026), using the FK (First Kills) column. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
First bloods recorded in overtime rounds count. Only completed maps count.
If two or more players are tied for the most first bloods, this market will resolve to the player with the fewer first deaths (FD) across the entire event. If a tie persists, this market will resolve to the player with the higher total kills across the entire event. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed in-game name comes first alphabetically.
If a player not listed in this market records the most first bloods, this market will resolve to "Other".
If VALORANT Champions 2026 is canceled, or is postponed such that it has not concluded by November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the vlr.gg event stats page (https://www.vlr.gg/event/stats/2766/valorant-champions-2026), using the FK (First Kills) column. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Sep 15, 2026, 3:34 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Nov 18, 2026Market Opened
Sep 15, 2026, 3:34 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.vlr.gg/event/stats/2766/valorant-champions-2026Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to which player records the most first bloods across all maps played during VALORANT Champions 2026 (also known as VCT Champions 2026), currently scheduled for September 24 to October 18, 2026, in Shanghai, China. A first blood is the first kill of a round, recorded as a First Kill (FK) in the official statistics.
First bloods recorded in overtime rounds count. Only completed maps count.
If two or more players are tied for the most first bloods, this market will resolve to the player with the fewer first deaths (FD) across the entire event. If a tie persists, this market will resolve to the player with the higher total kills across the entire event. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed in-game name comes first alphabetically.
If a player not listed in this market records the most first bloods, this market will resolve to "Other".
If VALORANT Champions 2026 is canceled, or is postponed such that it has not concluded by November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the vlr.gg event stats page (https://www.vlr.gg/event/stats/2766/valorant-champions-2026), using the FK (First Kills) column. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The bunched probabilities around 50% for several entrants and a long tail of 20-35% names reflect deep parity among entry fraggers and duelists across the 16 qualified teams ahead of the Shanghai group stage. Players such as Kicks, jawgemo, Cryocells, and lukxo enter with strong recent opening-duel rates from Stage 2 and international events, while roster depth on squads like 100 Thieves, Paper Rex, and Karmine Corp spreads first-blood volume across multiple maps in the double-elimination bracket. No single statistical outlier dominates pre-tournament leaderboards, and the format’s variable map count plus stylistic matchups further compress the field, keeping implied probabilities tightly contested until live results begin.
This market will resolve according to which player records the most first bloods across all maps played during VALORANT Champions 2026 (also known as VCT Champions 2026), currently scheduled for September 24 to October 18, 2026, in Shanghai, China. A first blood is the first kill of a round, recorded as a First Kill (FK) in the official statistics.
First bloods recorded in overtime rounds count. Only completed maps count.
If two or more players are tied for the most first bloods, this market will resolve to the player with the fewer first deaths (FD) across the entire event. If a tie persists, this market will resolve to the player with the higher total kills across the entire event. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed in-game name comes first alphabetically.
If a player not listed in this market records the most first bloods, this market will resolve to "Other".
If VALORANT Champions 2026 is canceled, or is postponed such that it has not concluded by November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the vlr.gg event stats page (https://www.vlr.gg/event/stats/2766/valorant-champions-2026), using the FK (First Kills) column. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
First bloods recorded in overtime rounds count. Only completed maps count.
If two or more players are tied for the most first bloods, this market will resolve to the player with the fewer first deaths (FD) across the entire event. If a tie persists, this market will resolve to the player with the higher total kills across the entire event. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed in-game name comes first alphabetically.
If a player not listed in this market records the most first bloods, this market will resolve to "Other".
If VALORANT Champions 2026 is canceled, or is postponed such that it has not concluded by November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the vlr.gg event stats page (https://www.vlr.gg/event/stats/2766/valorant-champions-2026), using the FK (First Kills) column. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0End Date
Nov 18, 2026Market Opened
Sep 15, 2026, 3:34 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.vlr.gg/event/stats/2766/valorant-champions-2026Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The bunched probabilities around 50% for several entrants and a long tail of 20-35% names reflect deep parity among entry fraggers and duelists across the 16 qualified teams ahead of the Shanghai group stage. Players such as Kicks, jawgemo, Cryocells, and lukxo enter with strong recent opening-duel rates from Stage 2 and international events, while roster depth on squads like 100 Thieves, Paper Rex, and Karmine Corp spreads first-blood volume across multiple maps in the double-elimination bracket. No single statistical outlier dominates pre-tournament leaderboards, and the format’s variable map count plus stylistic matchups further compress the field, keeping implied probabilities tightly contested until live results begin.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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