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icon for MSI 2026: Winner

MSI 2026: Winner

icon for MSI 2026: Winner

MSI 2026: Winner

Bilibili Gaming 62%

Hanwha Life Esports 40%

Other (incl. Lyon) <1%

Polymarket

$2,045,835 Vol.

Bilibili Gaming 62%

Hanwha Life Esports 40%

Other (incl. Lyon) <1%

Polymarket

$2,045,835 Vol.

icon for Bilibili Gaming

Bilibili Gaming

$261,317 Vol.

62%

icon for Hanwha Life Esports

Hanwha Life Esports

$235,439 Vol.

40%

icon for Other (incl. Lyon)

Other (incl. Lyon)

$160,195 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the team winning 1st place at the 2026 Mid-Season Invitational (MSI 2026), currently scheduled for June 28 - July 12, 2026. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the winner of MSI 2026 is not determined by July 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/Mid-Season_Invitational/2026) may also be used.Hanwha Life Esports and Bilibili Gaming sit tied at the front of trader pricing for MSI 2026 after strong regional campaigns, with HLE’s recent LCK Road to MSI victory over T1 highlighting its depth and momentum heading into the Daejeon bracket stage. Bilibili Gaming’s LPL dominance and Top Esports’ supporting strength keep LPL representation elevated, while T1’s pedigree maintains a close third despite the qualification setback. The bunched probabilities reflect the event’s all best-of-five fearless-draft structure, even international fields, and historical volatility among Eastern powers, where small edges in form, roster execution, and matchup preparation can rapidly shift implied probabilities among the top seeds.

This market will resolve according to the team winning 1st place at the 2026 Mid-Season Invitational (MSI 2026), currently scheduled for June 28 - July 12, 2026.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the winner of MSI 2026 is not determined by July 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/Mid-Season_Invitational/2026) may also be used.
Volume
$2,045,835
End Date
Jul 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 15, 2026, 2:16 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the team winning 1st place at the 2026 Mid-Season Invitational (MSI 2026), currently scheduled for June 28 - July 12, 2026. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the winner of MSI 2026 is not determined by July 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/Mid-Season_Invitational/2026) may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the team winning 1st place at the 2026 Mid-Season Invitational (MSI 2026), currently scheduled for June 28 - July 12, 2026. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the winner of MSI 2026 is not determined by July 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/Mid-Season_Invitational/2026) may also be used.Hanwha Life Esports and Bilibili Gaming sit tied at the front of trader pricing for MSI 2026 after strong regional campaigns, with HLE’s recent LCK Road to MSI victory over T1 highlighting its depth and momentum heading into the Daejeon bracket stage. Bilibili Gaming’s LPL dominance and Top Esports’ supporting strength keep LPL representation elevated, while T1’s pedigree maintains a close third despite the qualification setback. The bunched probabilities reflect the event’s all best-of-five fearless-draft structure, even international fields, and historical volatility among Eastern powers, where small edges in form, roster execution, and matchup preparation can rapidly shift implied probabilities among the top seeds.

This market will resolve according to the team winning 1st place at the 2026 Mid-Season Invitational (MSI 2026), currently scheduled for June 28 - July 12, 2026.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the winner of MSI 2026 is not determined by July 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/Mid-Season_Invitational/2026) may also be used.
Volume
$2,045,835
End Date
Jul 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 15, 2026, 2:16 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the team winning 1st place at the 2026 Mid-Season Invitational (MSI 2026), currently scheduled for June 28 - July 12, 2026. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the winner of MSI 2026 is not determined by July 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/Mid-Season_Invitational/2026) may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MSI 2026: Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Bilibili Gaming" at 62%, followed by "Hanwha Life Esports" at 40%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 62¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MSI 2026: Winner" has generated $2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 15, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MSI 2026: Winner," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MSI 2026: Winner" is "Bilibili Gaming" at 62%, meaning the market assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Hanwha Life Esports" at 40%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MSI 2026: Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.