Nvidia’s current ~$5.5 trillion market cap reflects sustained AI demand, with Q2 fiscal 2027 revenue hitting $96 billion (up 106% year-over-year) and data-center sales at $89 billion, driven by Blackwell ramp and early Vera Rubin shipments. Traders see the closely matched $5.5–6.0 trillion and $6.5 trillion+ bins as hinging on whether hyperscaler capex (projected near $800 billion this year) translates into volume growth despite memory and packaging bottlenecks that limit supply to roughly 70% of demand. Management’s 70% fiscal 2028 growth outlook and potential to double chip shipments support upside scenarios, while China export limits, potential multiple compression, and competition from AMD plus hyperscaler ASICs introduce downside risks through year-end. Upcoming earnings and supply-chain updates remain key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$5.50-$6.00T 26%
$6.50T+ 21%
$5.00-$5.50T 19%
$6.00-$6.50T 17%
$14,039 Vol.
$14,039 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<$4.00T
12%
$4.00-$4.50T
7%
$4.50-$5.00T
15%
$5.00-$5.50T
19%
$5.50-$6.00T
26%
$6.00-$6.50T
17%
$6.50T+
21%
$5.50-$6.00T 26%
$6.50T+ 21%
$5.00-$5.50T 19%
$6.00-$6.50T 17%
$14,039 Vol.
$14,039 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<$4.00T
$3,061 Vol.
12%
$4.00-$4.50T
$932 Vol.
7%
$4.50-$5.00T
$951 Vol.
15%
$5.00-$5.50T
$2,201 Vol.
19%
$5.50-$6.00T
$3,434 Vol.
26%
$6.00-$6.50T
$1,382 Vol.
17%
$6.50T+
$2,079 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Nvidia’s current ~$5.5 trillion market cap reflects sustained AI demand, with Q2 fiscal 2027 revenue hitting $96 billion (up 106% year-over-year) and data-center sales at $89 billion, driven by Blackwell ramp and early Vera Rubin shipments. Traders see the closely matched $5.5–6.0 trillion and $6.5 trillion+ bins as hinging on whether hyperscaler capex (projected near $800 billion this year) translates into volume growth despite memory and packaging bottlenecks that limit supply to roughly 70% of demand. Management’s 70% fiscal 2028 growth outlook and potential to double chip shipments support upside scenarios, while China export limits, potential multiple compression, and competition from AMD plus hyperscaler ASICs introduce downside risks through year-end. Upcoming earnings and supply-chain updates remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ET
Volume
$14,039End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Nvidia’s current ~$5.5 trillion market cap reflects sustained AI demand, with Q2 fiscal 2027 revenue hitting $96 billion (up 106% year-over-year) and data-center sales at $89 billion, driven by Blackwell ramp and early Vera Rubin shipments. Traders see the closely matched $5.5–6.0 trillion and $6.5 trillion+ bins as hinging on whether hyperscaler capex (projected near $800 billion this year) translates into volume growth despite memory and packaging bottlenecks that limit supply to roughly 70% of demand. Management’s 70% fiscal 2028 growth outlook and potential to double chip shipments support upside scenarios, while China export limits, potential multiple compression, and competition from AMD plus hyperscaler ASICs introduce downside risks through year-end. Upcoming earnings and supply-chain updates remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Volume
$14,039End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47de9d...Nvidia’s current ~$5.5 trillion market cap reflects sustained AI demand, with Q2 fiscal 2027 revenue hitting $96 billion (up 106% year-over-year) and data-center sales at $89 billion, driven by Blackwell ramp and early Vera Rubin shipments. Traders see the closely matched $5.5–6.0 trillion and $6.5 trillion+ bins as hinging on whether hyperscaler capex (projected near $800 billion this year) translates into volume growth despite memory and packaging bottlenecks that limit supply to roughly 70% of demand. Management’s 70% fiscal 2028 growth outlook and potential to double chip shipments support upside scenarios, while China export limits, potential multiple compression, and competition from AMD plus hyperscaler ASICs introduce downside risks through year-end. Upcoming earnings and supply-chain updates remain key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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