Julianne Moore holds the strongest market-implied odds at 69.5% for the 2027 Best Actress Oscar, reflecting trader consensus around her established industry standing and potential for a high-profile 2026 release. Other contenders such as Inde Navarrette at 13% and Renate Reinsve at 7.5% trail significantly, while most listed names sit at or near 50%, indicating limited early differentiation among a wide field. With the awards cycle still in its formative stages ahead of major 2026 premieres, guild nominations, and critics' awards, momentum could shift quickly based on box office performance, review aggregates, and precursor results. Historical patterns show that early frontrunner status often solidifies only after key festival screenings and guild nods emerge later in the year.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOscars 2027: Best Actress Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Actress Winner
Julianne Moore 70%
Inde Navarrette 13%
Renate Reinsve 8%
Sandra Hüller 4.4%
$140,633 Vol.
$140,633 Vol.
Jun 30, 2027
Julianne Moore
70%
Inde Navarrette
13%
Renate Reinsve
8%
Sandra Hüller
4%
Virginie Efira
2%
Ruth Madeley
1%
Scarlett Johansson
1%
Rachel Brosnahan
1%
Sophie Okonedo
<1%
Léa Seydoux
<1%
Michelle Williams
<1%
Julianne Moore 70%
Inde Navarrette 13%
Renate Reinsve 8%
Sandra Hüller 4.4%
$140,633 Vol.
$140,633 Vol.
Jun 30, 2027
Julianne Moore
$92,859 Vol.
70%
Inde Navarrette
$28,771 Vol.
13%
Renate Reinsve
$12,701 Vol.
8%
Sandra Hüller
$3,715 Vol.
4%
Virginie Efira
$188 Vol.
2%
Ruth Madeley
$721 Vol.
1%
Scarlett Johansson
$179 Vol.
1%
Rachel Brosnahan
$217 Vol.
1%
Sophie Okonedo
$160 Vol.
<1%
Léa Seydoux
$857 Vol.
<1%
Michelle Williams
$265 Vol.
<1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Julianne Moore holds the strongest market-implied odds at 69.5% for the 2027 Best Actress Oscar, reflecting trader consensus around her established industry standing and potential for a high-profile 2026 release. Other contenders such as Inde Navarrette at 13% and Renate Reinsve at 7.5% trail significantly, while most listed names sit at or near 50%, indicating limited early differentiation among a wide field. With the awards cycle still in its formative stages ahead of major 2026 premieres, guild nominations, and critics' awards, momentum could shift quickly based on box office performance, review aggregates, and precursor results. Historical patterns show that early frontrunner status often solidifies only after key festival screenings and guild nods emerge later in the year.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
Volume
$140,633End Date
Jul 1, 2027Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Julianne Moore holds the strongest market-implied odds at 69.5% for the 2027 Best Actress Oscar, reflecting trader consensus around her established industry standing and potential for a high-profile 2026 release. Other contenders such as Inde Navarrette at 13% and Renate Reinsve at 7.5% trail significantly, while most listed names sit at or near 50%, indicating limited early differentiation among a wide field. With the awards cycle still in its formative stages ahead of major 2026 premieres, guild nominations, and critics' awards, momentum could shift quickly based on box office performance, review aggregates, and precursor results. Historical patterns show that early frontrunner status often solidifies only after key festival screenings and guild nods emerge later in the year.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$140,633End Date
Jul 1, 2027Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Julianne Moore holds the strongest market-implied odds at 69.5% for the 2027 Best Actress Oscar, reflecting trader consensus around her established industry standing and potential for a high-profile 2026 release. Other contenders such as Inde Navarrette at 13% and Renate Reinsve at 7.5% trail significantly, while most listed names sit at or near 50%, indicating limited early differentiation among a wide field. With the awards cycle still in its formative stages ahead of major 2026 premieres, guild nominations, and critics' awards, momentum could shift quickly based on box office performance, review aggregates, and precursor results. Historical patterns show that early frontrunner status often solidifies only after key festival screenings and guild nods emerge later in the year.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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