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icon for Pro Football: 2026-27 Week 1 QBR Leader
Sports·NFL

Pro Football: 2026-27 Week 1 QBR Leader

icon for Pro Football: 2026-27 Week 1 QBR Leader
Sports·NFL

Pro Football: 2026-27 Week 1 QBR Leader

Caleb Williams 99.5%

Kyle Allen 1.0%

Malik Willis 1.0%

Tommy DeVito 1.0%

Polymarket

$3,305 Vol.

Caleb Williams 99.5%

Kyle Allen 1.0%

Malik Willis 1.0%

Tommy DeVito 1.0%

Polymarket

$3,305 Vol.

Josh Allen

$15 Vol.

No

Kyle Allen

$60 Vol.

No

Malik Willis

$60 Vol.

No

Kyle McCord

$15 Vol.

No

Drake Maye

$15 Vol.

No

Tommy DeVito

$50 Vol.

No

Geno Smith

$60 Vol.

No

Cade Klubnik

$60 Vol.

No

Lamar Jackson

$15 Vol.

No

Tyler Huntley

$60 Vol.

No

Joe Burrow

$60 Vol.

No

Joe Flacco

$60 Vol.

No

Deshaun Watson

$60 Vol.

No

Shedeur Sanders

$15 Vol.

No

Aaron Rodgers

$60 Vol.

No

Mason Rudolph

$60 Vol.

No

C.J. Stroud

$15 Vol.

No

Davis Mills

$60 Vol.

No

Daniel Jones

$60 Vol.

No

Anthony Richardson Sr.

$15 Vol.

No

Trevor Lawrence

$50 Vol.

No

Quinn Ewers

$60 Vol.

No

Cam Ward

$60 Vol.

No

Mitchell Trubisky

$60 Vol.

No

Bo Nix

$60 Vol.

No

Jarrett Stidham

$60 Vol.

No

Patrick Mahomes

$60 Vol.

No

Justin Fields

$60 Vol.

No

Kirk Cousins

$67 Vol.

No

Fernando Mendoza

$70 Vol.

No

Justin Herbert

$60 Vol.

No

Trey Lance

$60 Vol.

No

Dak Prescott

$15 Vol.

No

Sam Howell

$60 Vol.

No

Jalen Hurts

$15 Vol.

No

Andy Dalton

$15 Vol.

No

Jaxson Dart

$60 Vol.

No

Jameis Winston

$15 Vol.

No

Jayden Daniels

$60 Vol.

No

Marcus Mariota

$85 Vol.

No

Caleb Williams

$278 Vol.

Yes

Tyson Bagent

$15 Vol.

No

Jared Goff

$60 Vol.

No

Joshua Dobbs

$60 Vol.

No

Jordan Love

$15 Vol.

No

Tyrod Taylor

$15 Vol.

No

Kyler Murray

$60 Vol.

No

J.J. McCarthy

$15 Vol.

No

Tua Tagovailoa

$25 Vol.

No

Michael Penix Jr.

$15 Vol.

No

Bryce Young

$60 Vol.

No

Kenny Pickett

$60 Vol.

No

Tyler Shough

$60 Vol.

No

Spencer Rattler

$60 Vol.

No

Baker Mayfield

$60 Vol.

No

Jalon Daniels

$65 Vol.

No

Jacoby Brissett

$65 Vol.

No

Gardner Minshew II

$60 Vol.

No

Matthew Stafford

$60 Vol.

No

Stetson Bennett IV

$60 Vol.

No

Brock Purdy

$60 Vol.

No

Mac Jones

$60 Vol.

No

Sam Darnold

$25 Vol.

No

Drew Lock

$60 Vol.

No

This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most Total QBR (ESPN's Total Quarterback Rating) among qualified players. To qualify, a player must meet ESPN's minimum threshold for Total QBR leaderboard eligibility. Only games designated by the NFL as Week 1 of the 2026-27 regular season count. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more qualifying dropbacks in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher traditional passer rating in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other". If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened or truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available Total QBR data for completed games. If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in Total QBR among qualified players within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from ESPN; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Caleb Williams holds a dominant 91% implied probability in the 2026-27 Week 1 QBR market due to his record-setting performance in the Bears’ 59-37 season-opening win over the Panthers. The third-year quarterback completed 72.4% of his passes for 269 yards and two touchdowns while adding 65 rushing yards and two scores on the ground, powering Chicago to 552 offensive yards and eight touchdowns in the highest-scoring Week 1 game in NFL history. His 94.9 Total QBR tops ESPN’s early Week 1 leaderboard by a wide margin. Other signal-callers posted solid outings but none matched Williams’ efficiency, dual-threat production, or role in a franchise-record offensive explosion. Late adjustments to official QBR calculations or overlooked multi-QB games remain the only realistic paths to a different outcome.

This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most Total QBR (ESPN's Total Quarterback Rating) among qualified players. To qualify, a player must meet ESPN's minimum threshold for Total QBR leaderboard eligibility.

Only games designated by the NFL as Week 1 of the 2026-27 regular season count.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more qualifying dropbacks in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher traditional passer rating in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other".

If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened or truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available Total QBR data for completed games.

If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in Total QBR among qualified players within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from ESPN; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most Total QBR (ESPN's Total Quarterback Rating) among qualified players. To qualify, a player must meet ESPN's minimum threshold for Total QBR leaderboard eligibility. Only games designated by the NFL as Week 1 of the 2026-27 regular season count. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more qualifying dropbacks in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher traditional passer rating in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other". If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened or truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available Total QBR data for completed games. If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in Total QBR among qualified players within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from ESPN; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,305
End Date
Sep 15, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 4:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most Total QBR (ESPN's Total Quarterback Rating) among qualified players. To qualify, a player must meet ESPN's minimum threshold for Total QBR leaderboard eligibility. Only games designated by the NFL as Week 1 of the 2026-27 regular season count. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more qualifying dropbacks in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher traditional passer rating in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other". If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened or truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available Total QBR data for completed games. If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in Total QBR among qualified players within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from ESPN; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Caleb Williams holds a dominant 91% implied probability in the 2026-27 Week 1 QBR market due to his record-setting performance in the Bears’ 59-37 season-opening win over the Panthers. The third-year quarterback completed 72.4% of his passes for 269 yards and two touchdowns while adding 65 rushing yards and two scores on the ground, powering Chicago to 552 offensive yards and eight touchdowns in the highest-scoring Week 1 game in NFL history. His 94.9 Total QBR tops ESPN’s early Week 1 leaderboard by a wide margin. Other signal-callers posted solid outings but none matched Williams’ efficiency, dual-threat production, or role in a franchise-record offensive explosion. Late adjustments to official QBR calculations or overlooked multi-QB games remain the only realistic paths to a different outcome.

This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most Total QBR (ESPN's Total Quarterback Rating) among qualified players. To qualify, a player must meet ESPN's minimum threshold for Total QBR leaderboard eligibility.

Only games designated by the NFL as Week 1 of the 2026-27 regular season count.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more qualifying dropbacks in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher traditional passer rating in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other".

If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened or truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available Total QBR data for completed games.

If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in Total QBR among qualified players within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from ESPN; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most Total QBR (ESPN's Total Quarterback Rating) among qualified players. To qualify, a player must meet ESPN's minimum threshold for Total QBR leaderboard eligibility. Only games designated by the NFL as Week 1 of the 2026-27 regular season count. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more qualifying dropbacks in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher traditional passer rating in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other". If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened or truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available Total QBR data for completed games. If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in Total QBR among qualified players within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from ESPN; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,305
End Date
Sep 15, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 4:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

NFL 2026
Odds & Predictions

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Pro Football: 2026-27 Week 1 QBR Leader" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 64+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Caleb Williams" at 100%, followed by "Josh Allen" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Pro Football: 2026-27 Week 1 QBR Leader" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 9, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Pro Football: 2026-27 Week 1 QBR Leader," browse the 64+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Pro Football: 2026-27 Week 1 QBR Leader" is "Caleb Williams" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Josh Allen" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Pro Football: 2026-27 Week 1 QBR Leader" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.