Derrick Henry's three rushing touchdowns and 144 yards in the Ravens' 41-23 Week 1 win over the Colts established a commanding lead in scrimmage scores, driving the 91% implied probability as traders price in his red-zone volume and goal-line role under the new coaching staff. Baltimore's efficient offense funneled early-down and short-yardage work through the veteran back, producing multiple scores before most other Week 1 contests concluded. While several backs and receivers posted multiple touchdowns across the slate, none matched Henry's total, reinforcing the market's assessment of his edge. Late Monday Night Football outcomes or statistical corrections remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap, though Henry's early separation leaves limited realistic paths for challengers to overtake him.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDerrick Henry 99.5%
Chris Olave 19%
James Cook III 1.0%
DJ Moore 1.0%
$6,396 Vol.
$6,396 Vol.
James Cook III
No
DJ Moore
No
Dalton Kincaid
No
De'Von Achane
No
Malik Washington
No
Greg Dulcich
No
Rhamondre Stevenson
No
A.J. Brown
No
Hunter Henry
No
Breece Hall
No
Garrett Wilson
No
Mason Taylor
No
Derrick Henry
Yes
Zay Flowers
No
Mark Andrews
No
Chase Brown
No
Ja'Marr Chase
No
Mike Gesicki
No
Quinshon Judkins
No
Jerry Jeudy
No
Harold Fannin Jr.
No
Jaylen Warren
No
DK Metcalf
No
Pat Freiermuth
No
David Montgomery
No
Nico Collins
No
Dalton Schultz
No
Jonathan Taylor
No
Alec Pierce
No
Tyler Warren
No
Bhayshul Tuten
No
Brian Thomas Jr.
No
Brenton Strange
No
Tony Pollard
No
Carnell Tate
No
Gunnar Helm
No
J.K. Dobbins
No
Jaylen Waddle
No
Evan Engram
No
Kenneth Walker III
No
Rashee Rice
No
Travis Kelce
No
Ashton Jeanty
No
Tre Tucker
No
Brock Bowers
No
Omarion Hampton
No
Ladd McConkey
No
Charlie Kolar
No
Javonte Williams
No
CeeDee Lamb
No
Jake Ferguson
No
Saquon Barkley
No
DeVonta Smith
No
Dallas Goedert
No
Cam Skattebo
No
Malik Nabers
No
Isaiah Likely
No
Jacory Croskey-Merritt
No
Terry McLaurin
No
Chig Okonkwo
No
D'Andre Swift
No
Rome Odunze
No
Colston Loveland
No
Jahmyr Gibbs
No
Amon-Ra St. Brown
No
Sam LaPorta
No
MarShawn Lloyd
No
Christian Watson
No
Tucker Kraft
No
Aaron Jones Sr.
No
Justin Jefferson
No
T.J. Hockenson
No
Bijan Robinson
No
Drake London
No
Kyle Pitts Sr.
No
Chuba Hubbard
No
Tetairoa McMillan
No
Tommy Tremble
No
Travis Etienne Jr.
No
Chris Olave
No
Juwan Johnson
No
Bucky Irving
No
Emeka Egbuka
No
Cade Otton
No
Jeremiyah Love
No
Marvin Harrison Jr.
No
Trey McBride
No
Kyren Williams
No
Puka Nacua
No
Colby Parkinson
No
Christian McCaffrey
No
Mike Evans
No
George Kittle
No
Jadarian Price
No
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
No
AJ Barner
No
Derrick Henry 99.5%
Chris Olave 19%
James Cook III 1.0%
DJ Moore 1.0%
$6,396 Vol.
$6,396 Vol.
James Cook III
No
DJ Moore
No
Dalton Kincaid
No
De'Von Achane
No
Malik Washington
No
Greg Dulcich
No
Rhamondre Stevenson
No
A.J. Brown
No
Hunter Henry
No
Breece Hall
No
Garrett Wilson
No
Mason Taylor
No
Derrick Henry
Yes
Zay Flowers
No
Mark Andrews
No
Chase Brown
No
Ja'Marr Chase
No
Mike Gesicki
No
Quinshon Judkins
No
Jerry Jeudy
No
Harold Fannin Jr.
No
Jaylen Warren
No
DK Metcalf
No
Pat Freiermuth
No
David Montgomery
No
Nico Collins
No
Dalton Schultz
No
Jonathan Taylor
No
Alec Pierce
No
Tyler Warren
No
Bhayshul Tuten
No
Brian Thomas Jr.
No
Brenton Strange
No
Tony Pollard
No
Carnell Tate
No
Gunnar Helm
No
J.K. Dobbins
No
Jaylen Waddle
No
Evan Engram
No
Kenneth Walker III
No
Rashee Rice
No
Travis Kelce
No
Ashton Jeanty
No
Tre Tucker
No
Brock Bowers
No
Omarion Hampton
No
Ladd McConkey
No
Charlie Kolar
No
Javonte Williams
No
CeeDee Lamb
No
Jake Ferguson
No
Saquon Barkley
No
DeVonta Smith
No
Dallas Goedert
No
Cam Skattebo
No
Malik Nabers
No
Isaiah Likely
No
Jacory Croskey-Merritt
No
Terry McLaurin
No
Chig Okonkwo
No
D'Andre Swift
No
Rome Odunze
No
Colston Loveland
No
Jahmyr Gibbs
No
Amon-Ra St. Brown
No
Sam LaPorta
No
MarShawn Lloyd
No
Christian Watson
No
Tucker Kraft
No
Aaron Jones Sr.
No
Justin Jefferson
No
T.J. Hockenson
No
Bijan Robinson
No
Drake London
No
Kyle Pitts Sr.
No
Chuba Hubbard
No
Tetairoa McMillan
No
Tommy Tremble
No
Travis Etienne Jr.
No
Chris Olave
No
Juwan Johnson
No
Bucky Irving
No
Emeka Egbuka
No
Cade Otton
No
Jeremiyah Love
No
Marvin Harrison Jr.
No
Trey McBride
No
Kyren Williams
No
Puka Nacua
No
Colby Parkinson
No
Christian McCaffrey
No
Mike Evans
No
George Kittle
No
Jadarian Price
No
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
No
AJ Barner
No
Only games designated by the NFL as Week 1 of the 2026-27 regular season count.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more scrimmage yards (rushing yards plus receiving yards) in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher yards per touch average (scrimmage yards divided by the sum of rushing attempts and receptions) in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened or truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games.
If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in scrimmage touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Sep 9, 2026, 4:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Only games designated by the NFL as Week 1 of the 2026-27 regular season count.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more scrimmage yards (rushing yards plus receiving yards) in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher yards per touch average (scrimmage yards divided by the sum of rushing attempts and receptions) in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened or truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games.
If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in scrimmage touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Derrick Henry's three rushing touchdowns and 144 yards in the Ravens' 41-23 Week 1 win over the Colts established a commanding lead in scrimmage scores, driving the 91% implied probability as traders price in his red-zone volume and goal-line role under the new coaching staff. Baltimore's efficient offense funneled early-down and short-yardage work through the veteran back, producing multiple scores before most other Week 1 contests concluded. While several backs and receivers posted multiple touchdowns across the slate, none matched Henry's total, reinforcing the market's assessment of his edge. Late Monday Night Football outcomes or statistical corrections remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap, though Henry's early separation leaves limited realistic paths for challengers to overtake him.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions