The open SC-01 seat, vacated after the Republican incumbent pursued a gubernatorial bid, has produced a closely contested general election between Republican Jenny Honeycutt and Democrat Nancy Lacore. Recent district polling shows the nominees essentially tied, with one September survey placing Honeycutt at 41 percent to Lacore’s 40 percent. The district’s R+6 partisan voting index and 2024 Republican presidential margin create a structural GOP baseline, yet candidate profiles, including Lacore’s military background, have narrowed the gap in a midterm environment. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Lean Republican, while prediction market pricing reflects this balance through even odds between the nominees and concentrated probability on low single-digit victory margins for either side. Upcoming debates and final campaign spending could shift the narrow spread before November 3.