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icon for Serbia parliament dissolved by…?
Politics·Serbia

Serbia parliament dissolved by…?

icon for Serbia parliament dissolved by…?
Politics·Serbia

Serbia parliament dissolved by…?

$59,978 Vol.

Aug 31, 2026
Polymarket

$59,978 Vol.

Polymarket

August 31

$35,704 Vol.

5%

December 31

$16,090 Vol.

72%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Serbian National Assembly (Народна скупштина) is dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Aleksandar Vučić’s June 27, 2026 announcement that he would resign within weeks and trigger early presidential and parliamentary elections, prompted by sustained mass protests over rule-of-law concerns, remains the dominant factor shaping trader expectations for National Assembly dissolution. Under Serbia’s constitution, the president dissolves parliament to enable snap legislative votes, a step Vučić has not yet taken despite his pledge for elections sometime in 2026. Parliament continues to function as of mid-August, with the next regular vote constitutionally required by December 31, 2027. Traders are monitoring any follow-through on the resignation timeline, coalition dynamics within the ruling Serbian Progressive Party, and possible autumn scheduling that could accelerate dissolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Serbian National Assembly (Народна скупштина) is dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$59,978
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 29, 2026, 3:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Serbian National Assembly (Народна скупштина) is dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Serbian National Assembly (Народна скупштина) is dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Aleksandar Vučić’s June 27, 2026 announcement that he would resign within weeks and trigger early presidential and parliamentary elections, prompted by sustained mass protests over rule-of-law concerns, remains the dominant factor shaping trader expectations for National Assembly dissolution. Under Serbia’s constitution, the president dissolves parliament to enable snap legislative votes, a step Vučić has not yet taken despite his pledge for elections sometime in 2026. Parliament continues to function as of mid-August, with the next regular vote constitutionally required by December 31, 2027. Traders are monitoring any follow-through on the resignation timeline, coalition dynamics within the ruling Serbian Progressive Party, and possible autumn scheduling that could accelerate dissolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Serbian National Assembly (Народна скупштина) is dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$59,978
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 29, 2026, 3:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Serbian National Assembly (Народна скупштина) is dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Serbia parliament dissolved by…?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "December 31" at 72%, followed by "August 31" at 5%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 72¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 72% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Serbia parliament dissolved by…?" has generated $60K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 29, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Serbia parliament dissolved by…?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Serbia parliament dissolved by…?" is "December 31" at 72%, meaning the market assigns a 72% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "August 31" at 5%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Serbia parliament dissolved by…?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.