President Aleksandar Vučić’s June 27, 2026 announcement that he would resign within weeks and trigger early parliamentary elections remains the dominant driver of trader pricing for dissolution of Serbia’s National Assembly. Ongoing student-led protests and opposition pressure for a snap vote have accelerated political momentum, with the ruling coalition holding consultations on timing while opposition groups largely declined participation. Under the constitution, the president dissolves the assembly on a government proposal, after which elections must occur within 45–60 days; the regular term runs until December 2027. An OSCE needs-assessment mission for anticipated 2026 elections and recent no-confidence proceedings further signal that early dissolution is the prevailing scenario, producing the current high implied probability among traders.