**Ongoing anti-government protests since 2024–2025 and President Aleksandar Vučić’s public commitments have driven the elevated probability that Serbia’s National Assembly will be dissolved and snap parliamentary elections called before the scheduled December 2027 deadline.** Vučić announced in May 2026 that early elections would occur between late September and mid-November, later narrowing the window in June statements to within three to four months while signaling his own resignation to enable a combined presidential and parliamentary vote. These moves respond directly to sustained student-led demonstrations and opposition pressure demanding an early poll to address governance and corruption concerns. Serbia’s constitution allows the president to dissolve parliament and set elections 45–60 days later, a mechanism Vučić has used repeatedly. With the current mandate running until end-2027 and no formal dissolution yet confirmed as of mid-August 2026, traders assign an 86.5% implied probability to a “Yes” outcome based on the president’s consistent timeline signals and the political calendar’s flexibility. Upcoming developments, such as any formal dissolution announcement or further coalition adjustments, remain the primary catalysts that could lock in or alter resolution timing.