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icon for Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?

Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?

icon for Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?

Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?

67% probabilità
Polymarket

$39,174 Vol.

67% probabilità
Polymarket

$39,174 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Aleksandar Vučić’s repeated public statements have driven the 65.5% implied probability for a Serbian parliamentary election before 2027. In May 2026 he specified a window between late September and mid-November, following earlier signals from late 2025 and April 2026 that pointed to polls sometime in 2026. These comments coincide with more than a year of student-led protests demanding early voting and accountability, alongside coalition consultations and references to testing Serbian Progressive Party support ahead of the statutory December 2027 deadline. No formal dissolution decree has been issued as of mid-June 2026, leaving room for timing adjustments tied to protest dynamics or internal calculations, which traders appear to weigh against the consistent leadership signals.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$39,174
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Jan 12, 2026, 5:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Aleksandar Vučić’s repeated public statements have driven the 65.5% implied probability for a Serbian parliamentary election before 2027. In May 2026 he specified a window between late September and mid-November, following earlier signals from late 2025 and April 2026 that pointed to polls sometime in 2026. These comments coincide with more than a year of student-led protests demanding early voting and accountability, alongside coalition consultations and references to testing Serbian Progressive Party support ahead of the statutory December 2027 deadline. No formal dissolution decree has been issued as of mid-June 2026, leaving room for timing adjustments tied to protest dynamics or internal calculations, which traders appear to weigh against the consistent leadership signals.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$39,174
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Jan 12, 2026, 5:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni "Sì" o "No" in base a se credono che questo evento accadrà. La probabilità attuale aggregata è 67% per "Yes". Ad esempio, se "Sì" è quotato a 67¢, il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 67% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?" ha generato $39.2K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Jan 12, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?", scegli semplicemente se ritieni che la risposta sia "Sì" o "No". Ogni lato ha un prezzo corrente che riflette la probabilità implicita del mercato. Inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se compri azioni "Sì" e l'esito si risolve come "Sì", ogni azione paga $1. Se si risolve come "No", le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

La probabilità attuale per "Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?" è 67% per "Yes". Questo significa che la comunità Polymarket attualmente ritiene che ci sia una probabilità di 67% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale basandosi sulle operazioni effettive, fornendo un segnale continuamente aggiornato di ciò che il mercato si aspetta accada.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.