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icon for Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?

Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?

icon for Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?

Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?

82% chance
Polymarket

$33,500 Vol.

82% chance
Polymarket

$33,500 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Aleksandar Vučić's early May 2026 announcement of snap parliamentary elections—potentially on July 12 or in October-November—has propelled trader consensus to an 81.5% implied probability for a National Assembly vote before 2027, reflecting sustained pressure from student-led protests sparked by the November 2024 Novi Sad train station collapse that killed 16. After consultations with coalition partners and opposition in April, Vučić pledged adherence to ODIHR recommendations for fairer polls, building on his December 2025 commitment to early elections amid demands for accountability. While the ruling Serbian Progressive Party secured narrow wins in March local elections across 10 municipalities, historical patterns of frequent snap votes under proportional representation reinforce market expectations, though a final dissolution date awaits confirmation within days.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$33,500
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 12, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Aleksandar Vučić's early May 2026 announcement of snap parliamentary elections—potentially on July 12 or in October-November—has propelled trader consensus to an 81.5% implied probability for a National Assembly vote before 2027, reflecting sustained pressure from student-led protests sparked by the November 2024 Novi Sad train station collapse that killed 16. After consultations with coalition partners and opposition in April, Vučić pledged adherence to ODIHR recommendations for fairer polls, building on his December 2025 commitment to early elections amid demands for accountability. While the ruling Serbian Progressive Party secured narrow wins in March local elections across 10 municipalities, historical patterns of frequent snap votes under proportional representation reinforce market expectations, though a final dissolution date awaits confirmation within days.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$33,500
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 12, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Serbian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market is about whether a date for the next Serbian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 82% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 82¢, the market collectively assigns a 82% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?" has generated $33.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 12, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?" is 82% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 82% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.