Elon Musk’s high-volume posting on X continues to anchor trader expectations for the August 20–22 window, with the market showing tight clustering around the 65–89 and 90–114 bins. Recent daily averages near 25–35 posts, fueled by real-time commentary on business developments, policy debates, and cultural moments, support the leading outcomes while leaving room for variance from weekend lulls or sudden news spikes. The narrow gap between frontrunner ranges reflects uncertainty over whether sustained engagement will push totals higher or if typical mid-week momentum will moderate, with resolution depending on the final tally through Saturday night.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated65-89 35%
90-114 27.8%
115-139 16.1%
40-64 12%
$191,730 Vol.
$191,730 Vol.
Aug 22, 2026
<40
<1%
40-64
12%
65-89
35%
90-114
28%
115-139
16%
140-164
7%
165-189
2%
190-214
1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 35%
90-114 27.8%
115-139 16.1%
40-64 12%
$191,730 Vol.
$191,730 Vol.
Aug 22, 2026
<40
$34,622 Vol.
<1%
40-64
$24,255 Vol.
12%
65-89
$18,937 Vol.
35%
90-114
$13,814 Vol.
28%
115-139
$21,586 Vol.
16%
140-164
$27,201 Vol.
7%
165-189
$16,180 Vol.
2%
190-214
$9,686 Vol.
1%
215-239
$10,567 Vol.
<1%
240+
$14,882 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 20 12:00 PM ET to August 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s high-volume posting on X continues to anchor trader expectations for the August 20–22 window, with the market showing tight clustering around the 65–89 and 90–114 bins. Recent daily averages near 25–35 posts, fueled by real-time commentary on business developments, policy debates, and cultural moments, support the leading outcomes while leaving room for variance from weekend lulls or sudden news spikes. The narrow gap between frontrunner ranges reflects uncertainty over whether sustained engagement will push totals higher or if typical mid-week momentum will moderate, with resolution depending on the final tally through Saturday night.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 20 12:00 PM ET to August 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$191,730End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 20 12:00 PM ET to August 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s high-volume posting on X continues to anchor trader expectations for the August 20–22 window, with the market showing tight clustering around the 65–89 and 90–114 bins. Recent daily averages near 25–35 posts, fueled by real-time commentary on business developments, policy debates, and cultural moments, support the leading outcomes while leaving room for variance from weekend lulls or sudden news spikes. The narrow gap between frontrunner ranges reflects uncertainty over whether sustained engagement will push totals higher or if typical mid-week momentum will moderate, with resolution depending on the final tally through Saturday night.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 20 12:00 PM ET to August 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$191,730End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s high-volume posting on X continues to anchor trader expectations for the August 20–22 window, with the market showing tight clustering around the 65–89 and 90–114 bins. Recent daily averages near 25–35 posts, fueled by real-time commentary on business developments, policy debates, and cultural moments, support the leading outcomes while leaving room for variance from weekend lulls or sudden news spikes. The narrow gap between frontrunner ranges reflects uncertainty over whether sustained engagement will push totals higher or if typical mid-week momentum will moderate, with resolution depending on the final tally through Saturday night.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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