Incumbent Lindsey Graham secured a commanding lead in South Carolina’s June 9 Republican Senate primary through strong name recognition, consistent fundraising advantages, and late polling showing him in the low-to-mid 50s against a fragmented field headed by Mark Lynch. Pre-election surveys from firms such as Trafalgar and InsiderAdvantage placed Graham ahead by double digits, often near or above the 50 percent threshold required to avoid a runoff, while challengers split the remaining vote. Official results confirmed Graham at 56.8 percent and Lynch at 28.9 percent, producing a roughly 28-point margin that aligns with the market’s near-certain 20–30 percent outcome. A late surge by any single opponent or unexpectedly low turnout among Graham’s base could have narrowed the spread, yet neither materialized.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วSouth Carolina Senate Republican Primary: First Round Margin of Victory
South Carolina Senate Republican Primary: First Round Margin of Victory
Graham 20–30% 99.8%
Graham 10–20% 4.5%
Graham 30–40% <1%
Lynch Wins <1%
$13,156 ปริมาณ
$13,156 ปริมาณ
Jun 9, 2026
Graham 50%+
<1%
Graham 40–50%
<1%
Graham 30–40%
<1%
Graham 20–30%
100%
Graham 10–20%
5%
Graham <10%
<1%
Lynch Wins
<1%
Graham 20–30% 99.8%
Graham 10–20% 4.5%
Graham 30–40% <1%
Lynch Wins <1%
$13,156 ปริมาณ
$13,156 ปริมาณ
Jun 9, 2026
Graham 50%+
$1,406 ปริมาณ
<1%
Graham 40–50%
$2,415 ปริมาณ
<1%
Graham 30–40%
$595 ปริมาณ
<1%
Graham 20–30%
$3,612 ปริมาณ
100%
Graham 10–20%
$2,034 ปริมาณ
5%
Graham <10%
$2,022 ปริมาณ
<1%
Lynch Wins
$1,071 ปริมาณ
<1%
Primary elections in South Carolina are scheduled to be held on June 9, 2026, with a runoff election scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Republican Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Incumbent Lindsey Graham secured a commanding lead in South Carolina’s June 9 Republican Senate primary through strong name recognition, consistent fundraising advantages, and late polling showing him in the low-to-mid 50s against a fragmented field headed by Mark Lynch. Pre-election surveys from firms such as Trafalgar and InsiderAdvantage placed Graham ahead by double digits, often near or above the 50 percent threshold required to avoid a runoff, while challengers split the remaining vote. Official results confirmed Graham at 56.8 percent and Lynch at 28.9 percent, producing a roughly 28-point margin that aligns with the market’s near-certain 20–30 percent outcome. A late surge by any single opponent or unexpectedly low turnout among Graham’s base could have narrowed the spread, yet neither materialized.
Primary elections in South Carolina are scheduled to be held on June 9, 2026, with a runoff election scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Republican Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Republican Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 8, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,156วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 8, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in South Carolina are scheduled to be held on June 9, 2026, with a runoff election scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Republican Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Incumbent Lindsey Graham secured a commanding lead in South Carolina’s June 9 Republican Senate primary through strong name recognition, consistent fundraising advantages, and late polling showing him in the low-to-mid 50s against a fragmented field headed by Mark Lynch. Pre-election surveys from firms such as Trafalgar and InsiderAdvantage placed Graham ahead by double digits, often near or above the 50 percent threshold required to avoid a runoff, while challengers split the remaining vote. Official results confirmed Graham at 56.8 percent and Lynch at 28.9 percent, producing a roughly 28-point margin that aligns with the market’s near-certain 20–30 percent outcome. A late surge by any single opponent or unexpectedly low turnout among Graham’s base could have narrowed the spread, yet neither materialized.
Primary elections in South Carolina are scheduled to be held on June 9, 2026, with a runoff election scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Republican Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Republican Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,156วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 8, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Lindsey Graham secured a commanding lead in South Carolina’s June 9 Republican Senate primary through strong name recognition, consistent fundraising advantages, and late polling showing him in the low-to-mid 50s against a fragmented field headed by Mark Lynch. Pre-election surveys from firms such as Trafalgar and InsiderAdvantage placed Graham ahead by double digits, often near or above the 50 percent threshold required to avoid a runoff, while challengers split the remaining vote. Official results confirmed Graham at 56.8 percent and Lynch at 28.9 percent, producing a roughly 28-point margin that aligns with the market’s near-certain 20–30 percent outcome. A late surge by any single opponent or unexpectedly low turnout among Graham’s base could have narrowed the spread, yet neither materialized.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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