The Swiss National Bank's September 24 decision to hold its policy rate at 0%—with inflation at 0.8% in August and the conditional forecast rising only modestly to 0.7% for 2026 and 0.8% for 2027—has reinforced trader expectations for no change at the December meeting. Low and contained price pressures, driven by moderating energy effects and a still-supportive franc, align with the SNB's assessment that current policy remains appropriate for its 0-2% stability range while backing moderate GDP growth of 1.5-2% this year. Recent communications have tempered earlier market speculation around a near-term hike, consistent with the 72.5% implied probability of unchanged rates versus smaller odds of a 25 basis point move. Upcoming data on inflation, the franc, and global policy divergence will shape any late shifts ahead of the December assessment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved

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