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icon for Todd Blanche disbarred or suspended in NY in 2026?

Todd Blanche disbarred or suspended in NY in 2026?

icon for Todd Blanche disbarred or suspended in NY in 2026?

Todd Blanche disbarred or suspended in NY in 2026?

26% chance
Polymarket
NEW
26% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Todd Blanche is disbarred or suspended from practicing law in New York State by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. It will count as disbarment for purposes of this market if Todd Blanche voluntarily surrenders his own bar license. Administrative suspensions, including those resulting from failure to comply with attorney registration or continuing legal education requirements, will not qualify for purposes of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Appellate Division of the New York Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent ethics complaints filed in June 2026 with New York’s Attorney Grievance Committee allege violations of the Rules of Professional Conduct by Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche, including conflict issues tied to prior representation and DOJ conduct; a bipartisan group of over 100 former judges joined the filing. The New York City Bar Association’s July 13 letter to the Senate Judiciary Committee highlighted these matters while urging rejection of his nomination, though the body does not adjudicate grievances. Senate confirmation hearings began July 15 amid separate court records disputes. The 56.5% “No” pricing reflects the extended timelines typical of bar disciplinary reviews, absence of interim sanctions, and historical rarity of swift disbarment or suspension for sitting officials facing unresolved referrals.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Todd Blanche is disbarred or suspended from practicing law in New York State by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

It will count as disbarment for purposes of this market if Todd Blanche voluntarily surrenders his own bar license.

Administrative suspensions, including those resulting from failure to comply with attorney registration or continuing legal education requirements, will not qualify for purposes of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Appellate Division of the New York Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 14, 2026, 7:35 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Todd Blanche is disbarred or suspended from practicing law in New York State by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. It will count as disbarment for purposes of this market if Todd Blanche voluntarily surrenders his own bar license. Administrative suspensions, including those resulting from failure to comply with attorney registration or continuing legal education requirements, will not qualify for purposes of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Appellate Division of the New York Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Todd Blanche is disbarred or suspended from practicing law in New York State by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. It will count as disbarment for purposes of this market if Todd Blanche voluntarily surrenders his own bar license. Administrative suspensions, including those resulting from failure to comply with attorney registration or continuing legal education requirements, will not qualify for purposes of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Appellate Division of the New York Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent ethics complaints filed in June 2026 with New York’s Attorney Grievance Committee allege violations of the Rules of Professional Conduct by Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche, including conflict issues tied to prior representation and DOJ conduct; a bipartisan group of over 100 former judges joined the filing. The New York City Bar Association’s July 13 letter to the Senate Judiciary Committee highlighted these matters while urging rejection of his nomination, though the body does not adjudicate grievances. Senate confirmation hearings began July 15 amid separate court records disputes. The 56.5% “No” pricing reflects the extended timelines typical of bar disciplinary reviews, absence of interim sanctions, and historical rarity of swift disbarment or suspension for sitting officials facing unresolved referrals.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Todd Blanche is disbarred or suspended from practicing law in New York State by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

It will count as disbarment for purposes of this market if Todd Blanche voluntarily surrenders his own bar license.

Administrative suspensions, including those resulting from failure to comply with attorney registration or continuing legal education requirements, will not qualify for purposes of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Appellate Division of the New York Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 14, 2026, 7:35 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Todd Blanche is disbarred or suspended from practicing law in New York State by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. It will count as disbarment for purposes of this market if Todd Blanche voluntarily surrenders his own bar license. Administrative suspensions, including those resulting from failure to comply with attorney registration or continuing legal education requirements, will not qualify for purposes of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Appellate Division of the New York Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Todd Blanche disbarred or suspended in NY in 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 26% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 26¢, the market collectively assigns a 26% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Todd Blanche disbarred or suspended in NY in 2026?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Todd Blanche disbarred or suspended in NY in 2026?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Todd Blanche disbarred or suspended in NY in 2026?" is 26% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 26% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Todd Blanche disbarred or suspended in NY in 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.