Tesla's recent surge above $360, fueled by Nevada robotaxi permit approvals, Semi truck launch momentum, and accelerated autonomous vehicle expansion plans, anchors trader expectations for the August 28 close amid broad uncertainty. With implied probabilities clustered near 49% across $345–$385 bins, markets reflect balanced views on whether momentum sustains or profit-taking and broader equity volatility intervene before week-end. Key differentiators include ongoing EV demand trends, margin pressures from competition, and any incremental regulatory or production updates, as the next earnings catalyst lies in October. Aggregated real-money bets price in these near-term swings without assuming directional certainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated<$340 50%
$365-$370 50%
$370-$375 50%
$375-$380 50%
<$340
50%
$340-$345
49%
$345-$350
46%
$350-$355
49%
$355-$360
48%
$360-$365
49%
$365-$370
50%
$370-$375
50%
$375-$380
50%
$380-$385
50%
>$385
50%
<$340 50%
$365-$370 50%
$370-$375 50%
$375-$380 50%
<$340
50%
$340-$345
49%
$345-$350
46%
$350-$355
49%
$355-$360
48%
$360-$365
49%
$365-$370
50%
$370-$375
50%
$375-$380
50%
$380-$385
50%
>$385
50%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tesla's recent surge above $360, fueled by Nevada robotaxi permit approvals, Semi truck launch momentum, and accelerated autonomous vehicle expansion plans, anchors trader expectations for the August 28 close amid broad uncertainty. With implied probabilities clustered near 49% across $345–$385 bins, markets reflect balanced views on whether momentum sustains or profit-taking and broader equity volatility intervene before week-end. Key differentiators include ongoing EV demand trends, margin pressures from competition, and any incremental regulatory or production updates, as the next earnings catalyst lies in October. Aggregated real-money bets price in these near-term swings without assuming directional certainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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