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Sports·UFC

Grant Dawson – Mateusz Rębecki

Polymarket
Grant Dawson
Grant Dawson
Submission
Mateusz Rębecki
Mateusz Rębecki
$1.21M Vol.Polymarket

Moneyline

$1.2M Vol.

Totals

$15.6K Vol.

Go the Distance?

$781 Vol.

Fight won by KO/TKO?

$359 Vol.

Dawson to win by KO/TKO?

$625 Vol.

Rebecki to win by KO/TKO?

$1.2K Vol.

Fight won by submission?

$973 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Grant Dawson" if Grant Dawson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mateusz Rebecki at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026. It will resolve to "Mateusz Rebecki" if Mateusz Rebecki is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 23, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Grant Dawson and Mateusz Rebecki at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 23, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Grant Dawson and Mateusz Rebecki at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 23, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Grant Dawson defeats Mateusz Rebecki at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 23, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mateusz Rebecki defeats Grant Dawson at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 23, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Grant Dawson and Mateusz Rebecki at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 23, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Grant Dawson and Mateusz Rebecki at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Grant Dawson and Mateusz Rebecki at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1. “Under 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 1 for a 0.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 23, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Grant Dawson and Mateusz Rebecki at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Grant Dawson and Mateusz Rebecki at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2. “Under 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 2 for a 1.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 23, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Grant Dawson and Mateusz Rebecki at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Grant Dawson and Mateusz Rebecki at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. “Under 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 3 for a 2.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 23, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Grant Dawson entered UFC 328's lightweight prelims as trader consensus favorite against Mateusz Rebecki, buoyed by his elite wrestling base, reach advantage, and submission threat honed after a recent loss that spurred camp improvements. Rebecki, riding a reputation for savage striking and finishes but coming off back-to-back decision setbacks—including a majority decision defeat to Ludovit Klein at UFC 321—faced stylistic questions in grappling exchanges. Both hit the lightweight limit cleanly at Friday's weigh-ins with no reported injuries or withdrawals, heightening focus on Dawson's control versus Rebecki's knockout power at Newark's Prudential Center. The bout highlighted Dawson's experience edge in a competitive division matchup.

This market will resolve to "Grant Dawson" if Grant Dawson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mateusz Rebecki at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026.

It will resolve to "Mateusz Rebecki" if Mateusz Rebecki is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 23, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Volume
$1,213,499
End Date
May 10, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 18, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.ufc.com/events

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Grant Dawson" if Grant Dawson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mateusz Rebecki at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026. It will resolve to "Mateusz Rebecki" if Mateusz Rebecki is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 23, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

The “Rębecki vs. Dawson” market on Polymarket lets you trade on the outcome of the UFC game between the Mateusz Rębecki and the Grant Dawson, scheduled for May 9, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. The primary market is the moneyline — which team will win the game — where Dawson is currently priced at 100¢ (100% implied probability) and Rębecki at 0¢ (0%). Beyond the moneyline, sports markets on Polymarket may feature spreads, totals (over/under), and player props, giving you multiple ways to trade on this game. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Shares in the correct outcome pay out $1 each when the market resolves after the game ends.

As of now, the “Rębecki vs. Dawson” market has generated $1.2 million in total trading volume across all market types (moneyline, spreads, totals, and player props). This volume reflects active engagement from the Polymarket trading community, and a deeper pool of traders generally means more informative, reliable odds. You can track live price movements and trade on any market directly on this page.

To trade on “Rębecki vs. Dawson,” start by choosing the market type you want to trade: Moneyline (which team wins), Spreads (margin of victory), Totals (combined score over/under), or Player Props (individual player stat lines). Each market shows the current price for each side — for example, the moneyline shows MAT13 at 0¢ and GRA at 100¢. Select the side you want to trade, choose Buy to take a position or Sell to close an existing one, enter your amount, and click Trade. If your chosen side is correct when the game ends and the market resolves, your shares pay out $1 each. If it’s incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before the game ends to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current moneyline odds for “Rębecki vs. Dawson” show Grant Dawson at 100¢ (100% implied probability) and Mateusz Rębecki at 0¢ (0%). All odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, reflecting the latest collective view of how this game will play out. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as game time approaches.

The “Rębecki vs. Dawson” market resolves based on the official final score of the UFC game as reported by UFC’s official results, including overtime if applicable. Moneyline markets resolve to the team that wins the game. Spread markets resolve based on the final margin of victory relative to the posted line. Totals (over/under) markets resolve based on the combined final score of both teams. Player prop markets resolve based on official box score statistics. If the game is postponed or canceled, the market resolution rules (available in the Rules section on this page) specify how that scenario is handled. We recommend reviewing the full resolution criteria before trading.
Sports·UFC

Grant Dawson – Mateusz Rębecki

Polymarket
Grant Dawson
Grant Dawson
Submission
Mateusz Rębecki
Mateusz Rębecki
$1.21M Vol.Polymarket

Moneyline

$1.2M Vol.

Totals

$15.6K Vol.

Go the Distance?

$781 Vol.

Fight won by KO/TKO?

$359 Vol.

Dawson to win by KO/TKO?

$625 Vol.

Rebecki to win by KO/TKO?

$1.2K Vol.

Fight won by submission?

$973 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Grant Dawson" if Grant Dawson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mateusz Rebecki at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026. It will resolve to "Mateusz Rebecki" if Mateusz Rebecki is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 23, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Grant Dawson and Mateusz Rebecki at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 23, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Grant Dawson and Mateusz Rebecki at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 23, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Grant Dawson defeats Mateusz Rebecki at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 23, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mateusz Rebecki defeats Grant Dawson at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 23, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Grant Dawson and Mateusz Rebecki at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 23, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Grant Dawson and Mateusz Rebecki at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Grant Dawson and Mateusz Rebecki at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1. “Under 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 1 for a 0.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 23, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Grant Dawson and Mateusz Rebecki at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Grant Dawson and Mateusz Rebecki at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2. “Under 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 2 for a 1.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 23, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Grant Dawson and Mateusz Rebecki at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Grant Dawson and Mateusz Rebecki at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. “Under 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 3 for a 2.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 23, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Grant Dawson entered UFC 328's lightweight prelims as trader consensus favorite against Mateusz Rebecki, buoyed by his elite wrestling base, reach advantage, and submission threat honed after a recent loss that spurred camp improvements. Rebecki, riding a reputation for savage striking and finishes but coming off back-to-back decision setbacks—including a majority decision defeat to Ludovit Klein at UFC 321—faced stylistic questions in grappling exchanges. Both hit the lightweight limit cleanly at Friday's weigh-ins with no reported injuries or withdrawals, heightening focus on Dawson's control versus Rebecki's knockout power at Newark's Prudential Center. The bout highlighted Dawson's experience edge in a competitive division matchup.

This market will resolve to "Grant Dawson" if Grant Dawson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mateusz Rebecki at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026.

It will resolve to "Mateusz Rebecki" if Mateusz Rebecki is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 23, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Volume
$1,213,499
End Date
May 10, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 18, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.ufc.com/events

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Grant Dawson" if Grant Dawson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mateusz Rebecki at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026. It will resolve to "Mateusz Rebecki" if Mateusz Rebecki is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 23, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

The “Rębecki vs. Dawson” market on Polymarket lets you trade on the outcome of the UFC game between the Mateusz Rębecki and the Grant Dawson, scheduled for May 9, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. The primary market is the moneyline — which team will win the game — where Dawson is currently priced at 100¢ (100% implied probability) and Rębecki at 0¢ (0%). Beyond the moneyline, sports markets on Polymarket may feature spreads, totals (over/under), and player props, giving you multiple ways to trade on this game. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Shares in the correct outcome pay out $1 each when the market resolves after the game ends.

As of now, the “Rębecki vs. Dawson” market has generated $1.2 million in total trading volume across all market types (moneyline, spreads, totals, and player props). This volume reflects active engagement from the Polymarket trading community, and a deeper pool of traders generally means more informative, reliable odds. You can track live price movements and trade on any market directly on this page.

To trade on “Rębecki vs. Dawson,” start by choosing the market type you want to trade: Moneyline (which team wins), Spreads (margin of victory), Totals (combined score over/under), or Player Props (individual player stat lines). Each market shows the current price for each side — for example, the moneyline shows MAT13 at 0¢ and GRA at 100¢. Select the side you want to trade, choose Buy to take a position or Sell to close an existing one, enter your amount, and click Trade. If your chosen side is correct when the game ends and the market resolves, your shares pay out $1 each. If it’s incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before the game ends to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current moneyline odds for “Rębecki vs. Dawson” show Grant Dawson at 100¢ (100% implied probability) and Mateusz Rębecki at 0¢ (0%). All odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, reflecting the latest collective view of how this game will play out. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as game time approaches.

The “Rębecki vs. Dawson” market resolves based on the official final score of the UFC game as reported by UFC’s official results, including overtime if applicable. Moneyline markets resolve to the team that wins the game. Spread markets resolve based on the final margin of victory relative to the posted line. Totals (over/under) markets resolve based on the combined final score of both teams. Player prop markets resolve based on official box score statistics. If the game is postponed or canceled, the market resolution rules (available in the Rules section on this page) specify how that scenario is handled. We recommend reviewing the full resolution criteria before trading.