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Sports·UFC

Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?

icon for Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?
Sports·UFC

Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?

Petr Yan 54%

Merab Dvalishvili 40%

David Martinez 2.3%

Umar Nurmagomedov 1.1%

Polymarket

$450,581 Vol.

Petr Yan 54%

Merab Dvalishvili 40%

David Martinez 2.3%

Umar Nurmagomedov 1.1%

Polymarket

$450,581 Vol.

Petr Yan

$5,959 Vol.

54%

Merab Dvalishvili

$5,344 Vol.

40%

David Martinez

$110,637 Vol.

2%

Umar Nurmagomedov

$5,104 Vol.

1%

Sean O'Malley

$8,063 Vol.

1%

Cory Sandhagen

$4,395 Vol.

1%

Aiemann Zahabi

$62,457 Vol.

1%

Song Yadong

$117,228 Vol.

1%

Marlon Vera

$65,004 Vol.

1%

Mario Bautista

$23,252 Vol.

<1%

Deiveson Figueiredo

$43,138 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Bantamweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Petr Yan holds the edge in trader consensus for retaining the UFC bantamweight title through the end of 2026, driven primarily by his unanimous decision victory over Merab Dvalishvili at UFC 323 in December 2025 to claim the belt and the scheduled trilogy bout at UFC 333 on October 24 in Abu Dhabi. Merab's strong recent form, including multiple title defenses before the loss, positions him as the clearest immediate threat with realistic win potential to reclaim the championship. Umar Nurmagomedov sits further back after rebounding with wins over Mario Bautista and Deiveson Figueiredo, though his August 29 matchup against Song Yadong represents a key step toward contention. Lower-probability names like Sean O'Malley, Cory Sandhagen, and others reflect limited near-term paths amid the division's competitive depth and the focus on the Yan-Merab rubber match.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Bantamweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$450,581
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 5:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Bantamweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Bantamweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Petr Yan holds the edge in trader consensus for retaining the UFC bantamweight title through the end of 2026, driven primarily by his unanimous decision victory over Merab Dvalishvili at UFC 323 in December 2025 to claim the belt and the scheduled trilogy bout at UFC 333 on October 24 in Abu Dhabi. Merab's strong recent form, including multiple title defenses before the loss, positions him as the clearest immediate threat with realistic win potential to reclaim the championship. Umar Nurmagomedov sits further back after rebounding with wins over Mario Bautista and Deiveson Figueiredo, though his August 29 matchup against Song Yadong represents a key step toward contention. Lower-probability names like Sean O'Malley, Cory Sandhagen, and others reflect limited near-term paths amid the division's competitive depth and the focus on the Yan-Merab rubber match.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Bantamweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$450,581
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 5:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Bantamweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Petr Yan" at 54%, followed by "Merab Dvalishvili" at 40%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 54¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?" has generated $450.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?" is "Petr Yan" at 54%, meaning the market assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Merab Dvalishvili" at 40%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.