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Sports·UFC

Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?

icon for Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?
Sports·UFC

Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?

Petr Yan 54%

Merab Dvalishvili 30%

Umar Nurmagomedov 10%

Sean O'Malley 10%

Polymarket

$302,208 Vol.

Petr Yan 54%

Merab Dvalishvili 30%

Umar Nurmagomedov 10%

Sean O'Malley 10%

Polymarket

$302,208 Vol.

Petr Yan

$4,041 Vol.

60%

Merab Dvalishvili

$3,157 Vol.

25%

Umar Nurmagomedov

$3,034 Vol.

10%

Sean O'Malley

$7,109 Vol.

10%

Aiemann Zahabi

$61,509 Vol.

1%

Song Yadong

$1,931 Vol.

1%

Deiveson Figueiredo

$42,248 Vol.

1%

Cory Sandhagen

$3,755 Vol.

<1%

Marlon Vera

$64,341 Vol.

<1%

David Martinez

$88,455 Vol.

<1%

Mario Bautista

$22,629 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Bantamweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Petr Yan's status as reigning UFC Bantamweight champion anchors his 60% implied probability among traders, stemming from his April 2026 unanimous decision recapture of the title from Merab Dvalishvili amid the challenger's injury-compromised performance. Yan's elite striking precision and championship experience position him to navigate defenses through year's end, despite a January back surgery sidelining him until summer. Dvalishvili's 24.5% reflects his relentless wrestling volume and #2 ranking, fueling rematch speculation. Umar Nurmagomedov's 10% nods to his undefeated streak and recent win over Deiveson Figueiredo, marking him as a grappling threat, while Sean O'Malley's 8.5% highlights knockout power offset by wrestling vulnerabilities in recent bouts like his loss to Dvalishvili. Lower probabilities for others underscore their steeper paths amid this crowded title picture.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Bantamweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$302,208
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 5:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Bantamweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Bantamweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Petr Yan's status as reigning UFC Bantamweight champion anchors his 60% implied probability among traders, stemming from his April 2026 unanimous decision recapture of the title from Merab Dvalishvili amid the challenger's injury-compromised performance. Yan's elite striking precision and championship experience position him to navigate defenses through year's end, despite a January back surgery sidelining him until summer. Dvalishvili's 24.5% reflects his relentless wrestling volume and #2 ranking, fueling rematch speculation. Umar Nurmagomedov's 10% nods to his undefeated streak and recent win over Deiveson Figueiredo, marking him as a grappling threat, while Sean O'Malley's 8.5% highlights knockout power offset by wrestling vulnerabilities in recent bouts like his loss to Dvalishvili. Lower probabilities for others underscore their steeper paths amid this crowded title picture.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Bantamweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$302,208
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 5:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Bantamweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Petr Yan" at 60%, followed by "Merab Dvalishvili" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 60¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 60% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?" has generated $302.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?" is "Petr Yan" at 60%, meaning the market assigns a 60% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Merab Dvalishvili" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.