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Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?

icon for Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?

Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?

Alexandre Pantoja 36%

Manel Kape 13.5%

Tatsuro Taira 2.6%

Amir Albazi <1%

Polymarket

$1,164,121 Vol.

Alexandre Pantoja 36%

Manel Kape 13.5%

Tatsuro Taira 2.6%

Amir Albazi <1%

Polymarket

$1,164,121 Vol.

Alexandre Pantoja

$5,445 Vol.

36%

Manel Kape

$1,201 Vol.

14%

Tatsuro Taira

$1,213 Vol.

3%

Amir Albazi

$788,589 Vol.

1%

Tim Elliott

$303,896 Vol.

<1%

Steve Erceg

$864 Vol.

<1%

Brandon Moreno

$407 Vol.

<1%

Asu Almabayev

$57,066 Vol.

<1%

Kyoji Horiguchi

$923 Vol.

<1%

Brandon Royval

$534 Vol.

<1%

Joshua Van

$3,983 Vol.

41%

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Joshua Van holds a narrow edge in the flyweight title market as the reigning champion, having captured the belt via first-round TKO at UFC 323 when Alexandre Pantoja suffered an elbow injury just 26 seconds into their December 2025 bout. Van followed with a fifth-round stoppage of Tatsuro Taira in May 2026 at UFC 328, reinforcing his momentum and positioning him as the consensus leader among traders. Pantoja, cleared to return, sits second on the strength of his prior dominance and expected rematch opportunity, while Kyoji Horiguchi and Manel Kape climb on recent form and upcoming matchmaking that could accelerate their paths. The division's depth and short timelines to year-end weigh on longer-shot contenders like Taira and Steve Erceg.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$1,164,121
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 5:45 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Joshua Van holds a narrow edge in the flyweight title market as the reigning champion, having captured the belt via first-round TKO at UFC 323 when Alexandre Pantoja suffered an elbow injury just 26 seconds into their December 2025 bout. Van followed with a fifth-round stoppage of Tatsuro Taira in May 2026 at UFC 328, reinforcing his momentum and positioning him as the consensus leader among traders. Pantoja, cleared to return, sits second on the strength of his prior dominance and expected rematch opportunity, while Kyoji Horiguchi and Manel Kape climb on recent form and upcoming matchmaking that could accelerate their paths. The division's depth and short timelines to year-end weigh on longer-shot contenders like Taira and Steve Erceg.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$1,164,121
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 5:45 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Joshua Van" at 41%, followed by "Alexandre Pantoja" at 36%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 41¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?" has generated $1.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?" is "Joshua Van" at 41%, meaning the market assigns a 41% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexandre Pantoja" at 36%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.