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Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?

icon for Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?
Sports·Mma

Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?

Jailton Almeida 44.2%

Derrick Lewis 39.0%

Ciryl Gane 27%

Alexander Volkov 1.1%

Polymarket

$97,750 Vol.

Jailton Almeida 44.2%

Derrick Lewis 39.0%

Ciryl Gane 27%

Alexander Volkov 1.1%

Polymarket

$97,750 Vol.

Jailton Almeida

$88 Vol.

44%

Derrick Lewis

$3,073 Vol.

39%

Ciryl Gane

$3,106 Vol.

27%

Alexander Volkov

$475 Vol.

8%

Marcin Tybura

$23,197 Vol.

1%

Curtis Blaydes

$66,091 Vol.

<1%

Tom Aspinall

$1,397 Vol.

38%

Sergei Pavlovich

$71 Vol.

43%

Serghei Spivac

$76 Vol.

47%

Waldo Cortes Acosta

$83 Vol.

41%

Ante Delija

$91 Vol.

43%

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).The UFC heavyweight division remains highly unpredictable heading into the second half of 2026, with current champion Tom Aspinall facing questions around his availability after the October 2025 eye-poke no-contest against Ciryl Gane. This has opened the door for an interim title bout between Alex Pereira and Gane in June, while a deep pool of contenders including Serghei Spivac, Jailton Almeida, Sergei Pavlovich, Ante Delija, and Waldo Cortes-Acosta continue to post strong recent results and climb the rankings. Traders reflect this parity through tightly clustered implied probabilities, as any of several fighters could string together wins, capitalize on injuries, or benefit from favorable matchmaking before year-end. Historical title turnover rates and the division’s stylistic matchups further underscore the uncertainty.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$97,750
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).The UFC heavyweight division remains highly unpredictable heading into the second half of 2026, with current champion Tom Aspinall facing questions around his availability after the October 2025 eye-poke no-contest against Ciryl Gane. This has opened the door for an interim title bout between Alex Pereira and Gane in June, while a deep pool of contenders including Serghei Spivac, Jailton Almeida, Sergei Pavlovich, Ante Delija, and Waldo Cortes-Acosta continue to post strong recent results and climb the rankings. Traders reflect this parity through tightly clustered implied probabilities, as any of several fighters could string together wins, capitalize on injuries, or benefit from favorable matchmaking before year-end. Historical title turnover rates and the division’s stylistic matchups further underscore the uncertainty.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$97,750
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Serghei Spivac" at 47%, followed by "Jailton Almeida" at 44%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 47¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 47% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?" has generated $97.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?" is "Serghei Spivac" at 47%, meaning the market assigns a 47% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jailton Almeida" at 44%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.