The top four seeds—defending champion Aryna Sabalenka, new world No. 1 Elena Rybakina, Jessica Pegula, and Coco Gauff—advanced to the US Open women's semifinals, marking the first such occurrence at a major since 2009. Rybakina claimed the top ranking by rallying past Zheng Qinwen in the quarters, while Gauff saved match points to overcome Mirra Andreeva in a three-set battle. Sabalenka edged Linda Noskova in a tight contest to set up a rematch with Pegula, who defeated Emma Navarro. These results, combined with strong recent hard-court form and minimal upsets among elites, shape trader views on semifinal qualification probabilities heading into Thursday's matches.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$30,450 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
Aryna Sabalenka
Yes
Elena Rybakina
Yes
Jessica Pegula
Yes
Coco Gauff
Yes
Mirra Andreeva
No
Linda Noskova
No
Karolina Muchova
No
Iga Swiatek
No
Elina Svitolina
No
Amanda Anisimova
No
Marta Kostyuk
No
Belinda Bencic
No
Naomi Osaka
No
Iva Jovic
No
Diana Shnaider
No
Sorana Cirstea
No
Alexandra Eala
No
Ekaterina Alexandrova
No
Jasmine Paolini
No
Maja Chwalinska
No
Anna Kalinskaya
No
Madison Keys
No
Elise Mertens
No
Anastasia Potapova
No
Emma Navarro
No
Marie Bouzkova
No
Barbora Krejcikova
No
Sara Bejlek
No
Ann Li
No
Jelena Ostapenko
No
Leylah Fernandez
No
Maria Sakkari
No
Reese Brantmeier
No
Thea Frodin
No
Leolia Jeanjean
No
Sofia Kenin
No
Carol Young Suh Lee
No
Taylah Preston
No
Sloane Stephens
No
Venus Williams
No
$30,450 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
$889 Vol.
Yes
Elena Rybakina
$2,382 Vol.
Yes
Jessica Pegula
$244 Vol.
Yes
Coco Gauff
$2,568 Vol.
Yes
Mirra Andreeva
$680 Vol.
No
Linda Noskova
$37 Vol.
No
Karolina Muchova
$24 Vol.
No
Iga Swiatek
$5,484 Vol.
No
Elina Svitolina
$436 Vol.
No
Amanda Anisimova
$621 Vol.
No
Marta Kostyuk
$58 Vol.
No
Belinda Bencic
$190 Vol.
No
Naomi Osaka
$829 Vol.
No
Iva Jovic
$143 Vol.
No
Diana Shnaider
$167 Vol.
No
Sorana Cirstea
$398 Vol.
No
Alexandra Eala
$1,469 Vol.
No
Ekaterina Alexandrova
$212 Vol.
No
Jasmine Paolini
$3,289 Vol.
No
Maja Chwalinska
$705 Vol.
No
Anna Kalinskaya
$182 Vol.
No
Madison Keys
$133 Vol.
No
Elise Mertens
$1,367 Vol.
No
Anastasia Potapova
$583 Vol.
No
Emma Navarro
$3,739 Vol.
No
Marie Bouzkova
$238 Vol.
No
Barbora Krejcikova
$92 Vol.
No
Sara Bejlek
$43 Vol.
No
Ann Li
$471 Vol.
No
Jelena Ostapenko
$170 Vol.
No
Leylah Fernandez
$269 Vol.
No
Maria Sakkari
$41 Vol.
No
Reese Brantmeier
$22 Vol.
No
Thea Frodin
$206 Vol.
No
Leolia Jeanjean
$269 Vol.
No
Sofia Kenin
$61 Vol.
No
Carol Young Suh Lee
$1,006 Vol.
No
Taylah Preston
$216 Vol.
No
Sloane Stephens
$176 Vol.
No
Venus Williams
$341 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The top four seeds—defending champion Aryna Sabalenka, new world No. 1 Elena Rybakina, Jessica Pegula, and Coco Gauff—advanced to the US Open women's semifinals, marking the first such occurrence at a major since 2009. Rybakina claimed the top ranking by rallying past Zheng Qinwen in the quarters, while Gauff saved match points to overcome Mirra Andreeva in a three-set battle. Sabalenka edged Linda Noskova in a tight contest to set up a rematch with Pegula, who defeated Emma Navarro. These results, combined with strong recent hard-court form and minimal upsets among elites, shape trader views on semifinal qualification probabilities heading into Thursday's matches.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 11:44 AM ET
Volume
$30,450End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 11:44 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The top four seeds—defending champion Aryna Sabalenka, new world No. 1 Elena Rybakina, Jessica Pegula, and Coco Gauff—advanced to the US Open women's semifinals, marking the first such occurrence at a major since 2009. Rybakina claimed the top ranking by rallying past Zheng Qinwen in the quarters, while Gauff saved match points to overcome Mirra Andreeva in a three-set battle. Sabalenka edged Linda Noskova in a tight contest to set up a rematch with Pegula, who defeated Emma Navarro. These results, combined with strong recent hard-court form and minimal upsets among elites, shape trader views on semifinal qualification probabilities heading into Thursday's matches.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$30,450End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 11:44 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
The top four seeds—defending champion Aryna Sabalenka, new world No. 1 Elena Rybakina, Jessica Pegula, and Coco Gauff—advanced to the US Open women's semifinals, marking the first such occurrence at a major since 2009. Rybakina claimed the top ranking by rallying past Zheng Qinwen in the quarters, while Gauff saved match points to overcome Mirra Andreeva in a three-set battle. Sabalenka edged Linda Noskova in a tight contest to set up a rematch with Pegula, who defeated Emma Navarro. These results, combined with strong recent hard-court form and minimal upsets among elites, shape trader views on semifinal qualification probabilities heading into Thursday's matches.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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