Delcy Rodríguez holds a commanding lead in trader consensus as Venezuela’s de facto leader at the end of 2026 because she assumed the acting presidency in January 2026 after U.S. forces captured Nicolás Maduro and the Supreme Tribunal ordered her to exercise executive powers to ensure continuity. She has since consolidated control through cabinet changes, military command shifts, and engagement with the United States that produced sanctions relief and diplomatic restoration, while managing transition talks with opposition factions and responding to domestic crises such as recent earthquakes. Ongoing U.S.-backed negotiations and her brother’s role leading the National Assembly further reinforce her position. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include successful constitutional elections triggered by transition agreements, internal challenges from figures such as Diosdado Cabello, or shifts in U.S. policy that empower opposition leaders like María Corina Machado.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDelcy Rodríguez 93%
María Corina Machado 4.0%
Marco Rubio 1.3%
No Head of State <1%
$400,462 Vol.
$400,462 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
Delcy Rodríguez
93%
María Corina Machado
4%
Marco Rubio
1%
No Head of State
1%
Dinorah Figuera
1%
Jorge Rodríguez
<1%
Edmundo González
<1%
Dan Caine
<1%
Pete Hegseth
<1%
Frank Donovan
<1%
Nicolás Maduro
<1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
<1%
Donald Trump
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
<1%
Evan Pettus
<1%
Richard Grenell
<1%
Delcy Rodríguez 93%
María Corina Machado 4.0%
Marco Rubio 1.3%
No Head of State <1%
$400,462 Vol.
$400,462 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
Delcy Rodríguez
$113,109 Vol.
93%
María Corina Machado
$53,484 Vol.
4%
Marco Rubio
$6,549 Vol.
1%
No Head of State
$67,180 Vol.
1%
Dinorah Figuera
$4,633 Vol.
1%
Jorge Rodríguez
$8,441 Vol.
<1%
Edmundo González
$4,128 Vol.
<1%
Dan Caine
$3,349 Vol.
<1%
Pete Hegseth
$3,079 Vol.
<1%
Frank Donovan
$42,247 Vol.
<1%
Nicolás Maduro
$4,907 Vol.
<1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
$3,574 Vol.
<1%
Donald Trump
$2,926 Vol.
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
$68,170 Vol.
<1%
Evan Pettus
$7,309 Vol.
<1%
Richard Grenell
$7,378 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.Delcy Rodríguez holds a commanding lead in trader consensus as Venezuela’s de facto leader at the end of 2026 because she assumed the acting presidency in January 2026 after U.S. forces captured Nicolás Maduro and the Supreme Tribunal ordered her to exercise executive powers to ensure continuity. She has since consolidated control through cabinet changes, military command shifts, and engagement with the United States that produced sanctions relief and diplomatic restoration, while managing transition talks with opposition factions and responding to domestic crises such as recent earthquakes. Ongoing U.S.-backed negotiations and her brother’s role leading the National Assembly further reinforce her position. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include successful constitutional elections triggered by transition agreements, internal challenges from figures such as Diosdado Cabello, or shifts in U.S. policy that empower opposition leaders like María Corina Machado.
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
Market Opened: May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
Volume
$400,462End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.Delcy Rodríguez holds a commanding lead in trader consensus as Venezuela’s de facto leader at the end of 2026 because she assumed the acting presidency in January 2026 after U.S. forces captured Nicolás Maduro and the Supreme Tribunal ordered her to exercise executive powers to ensure continuity. She has since consolidated control through cabinet changes, military command shifts, and engagement with the United States that produced sanctions relief and diplomatic restoration, while managing transition talks with opposition factions and responding to domestic crises such as recent earthquakes. Ongoing U.S.-backed negotiations and her brother’s role leading the National Assembly further reinforce her position. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include successful constitutional elections triggered by transition agreements, internal challenges from figures such as Diosdado Cabello, or shifts in U.S. policy that empower opposition leaders like María Corina Machado.
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
Volume
$400,462End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Delcy Rodríguez holds a commanding lead in trader consensus as Venezuela’s de facto leader at the end of 2026 because she assumed the acting presidency in January 2026 after U.S. forces captured Nicolás Maduro and the Supreme Tribunal ordered her to exercise executive powers to ensure continuity. She has since consolidated control through cabinet changes, military command shifts, and engagement with the United States that produced sanctions relief and diplomatic restoration, while managing transition talks with opposition factions and responding to domestic crises such as recent earthquakes. Ongoing U.S.-backed negotiations and her brother’s role leading the National Assembly further reinforce her position. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include successful constitutional elections triggered by transition agreements, internal challenges from figures such as Diosdado Cabello, or shifts in U.S. policy that empower opposition leaders like María Corina Machado.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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