The US military operation that captured Nicolás Maduro in January 2026 and installed Delcy Rodríguez as acting president continues to anchor trader assessments for Venezuela’s leadership at the end of the year. Rodríguez has consolidated control through cabinet and military reshuffles, secured US diplomatic recognition, eased sanctions, and overseen rising oil exports alongside resumed commercial flights in April. These steps have sustained institutional continuity within Maduro-aligned circles, elevating both figures in the market while limiting space for opposition leaders such as María Corina Machado. Ongoing protests over wages and lingering security controls highlight persistent domestic pressures, yet the absence of scheduled elections or major power shifts through mid-2026 leaves the current arrangement as the dominant reference point for end-of-year outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedVenezuela leader end of 2026?
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro 64.3%
Delcy Rodríguez 21%
María Corina Machado 8%
Jorge Rodríguez 1.1%
$88,293,151 Vol.
$88,293,151 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Nicolás Maduro
64%
Delcy Rodríguez
21%
María Corina Machado
8%
Jorge Rodríguez
1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
1%
Edmundo González
1%
Donald Trump
1%
No Head of State
1%
Dinorah Figuera
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
<1%
Evan Pettus
<1%
Dan Caine
<1%
Marco Rubio
<1%
Pete Hegseth
<1%
Frank Donovan
<1%
Richard Grenell
<1%
Nicolás Maduro 64.3%
Delcy Rodríguez 21%
María Corina Machado 8%
Jorge Rodríguez 1.1%
$88,293,151 Vol.
$88,293,151 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Nicolás Maduro
$1,706,333 Vol.
64%
Delcy Rodríguez
$1,597,821 Vol.
21%
María Corina Machado
$1,061,434 Vol.
8%
Jorge Rodríguez
$1,005,460 Vol.
1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
$1,688,780 Vol.
1%
Edmundo González
$830,446 Vol.
1%
Donald Trump
$913,621 Vol.
1%
No Head of State
$1,080,847 Vol.
1%
Dinorah Figuera
$2,339,406 Vol.
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
$666,521 Vol.
<1%
Evan Pettus
$5,166,887 Vol.
<1%
Dan Caine
$3,573,662 Vol.
<1%
Marco Rubio
$983,236 Vol.
<1%
Pete Hegseth
$8,602,487 Vol.
<1%
Frank Donovan
$25,057,054 Vol.
<1%
Richard Grenell
$32,019,156 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
The US military operation that captured Nicolás Maduro in January 2026 and installed Delcy Rodríguez as acting president continues to anchor trader assessments for Venezuela’s leadership at the end of the year. Rodríguez has consolidated control through cabinet and military reshuffles, secured US diplomatic recognition, eased sanctions, and overseen rising oil exports alongside resumed commercial flights in April. These steps have sustained institutional continuity within Maduro-aligned circles, elevating both figures in the market while limiting space for opposition leaders such as María Corina Machado. Ongoing protests over wages and lingering security controls highlight persistent domestic pressures, yet the absence of scheduled elections or major power shifts through mid-2026 leaves the current arrangement as the dominant reference point for end-of-year outcomes.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Market Opened: Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
Volume
$88,293,151End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
The US military operation that captured Nicolás Maduro in January 2026 and installed Delcy Rodríguez as acting president continues to anchor trader assessments for Venezuela’s leadership at the end of the year. Rodríguez has consolidated control through cabinet and military reshuffles, secured US diplomatic recognition, eased sanctions, and overseen rising oil exports alongside resumed commercial flights in April. These steps have sustained institutional continuity within Maduro-aligned circles, elevating both figures in the market while limiting space for opposition leaders such as María Corina Machado. Ongoing protests over wages and lingering security controls highlight persistent domestic pressures, yet the absence of scheduled elections or major power shifts through mid-2026 leaves the current arrangement as the dominant reference point for end-of-year outcomes.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Volume
$88,293,151End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The US military operation that captured Nicolás Maduro in January 2026 and installed Delcy Rodríguez as acting president continues to anchor trader assessments for Venezuela’s leadership at the end of the year. Rodríguez has consolidated control through cabinet and military reshuffles, secured US diplomatic recognition, eased sanctions, and overseen rising oil exports alongside resumed commercial flights in April. These steps have sustained institutional continuity within Maduro-aligned circles, elevating both figures in the market while limiting space for opposition leaders such as María Corina Machado. Ongoing protests over wages and lingering security controls highlight persistent domestic pressures, yet the absence of scheduled elections or major power shifts through mid-2026 leaves the current arrangement as the dominant reference point for end-of-year outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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