The US military capture of Nicolás Maduro in early January 2026 and the Supreme Tribunal of Justice's subsequent appointment of Vice President Delcy Rodríguez as interim president have anchored trader focus on these two outcomes for Venezuela's leadership by the end of the year. Rodríguez has consolidated authority through cabinet changes, military endorsements, oil and investment agreements with the United States, and diplomatic outreach including upcoming UN General Assembly engagements. US-backed transition talks between the government and segments of the opposition continue amid questions over the unpublished legal basis for the interim role and constitutional timelines for declaring a permanent vacancy or holding elections. Other figures register negligible probabilities due to limited institutional or international backing in the current environment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedVenezuela leader end of 2026?
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro 54.6%
Delcy Rodríguez 44%
No Head of State <1%
Edmundo González <1%
$97,356,241 Vol.
$97,356,241 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Nicolás Maduro
55%
Delcy Rodríguez
44%
No Head of State
1%
Edmundo González
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
<1%
Marco Rubio
<1%
Jorge Rodríguez
<1%
Pete Hegseth
<1%
Frank Donovan
<1%
María Corina Machado
<1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
<1%
Dinorah Figuera
<1%
Donald Trump
<1%
Evan Pettus
<1%
Dan Caine
<1%
Richard Grenell
<1%
Nicolás Maduro 54.6%
Delcy Rodríguez 44%
No Head of State <1%
Edmundo González <1%
$97,356,241 Vol.
$97,356,241 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Nicolás Maduro
$3,185,313 Vol.
55%
Delcy Rodríguez
$2,153,764 Vol.
44%
No Head of State
$1,602,762 Vol.
1%
Edmundo González
$1,300,080 Vol.
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
$881,119 Vol.
<1%
Marco Rubio
$1,482,733 Vol.
<1%
Jorge Rodríguez
$1,229,866 Vol.
<1%
Pete Hegseth
$9,268,975 Vol.
<1%
Frank Donovan
$25,854,689 Vol.
<1%
María Corina Machado
$1,518,975 Vol.
<1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
$2,126,510 Vol.
<1%
Dinorah Figuera
$3,001,708 Vol.
<1%
Donald Trump
$1,149,161 Vol.
<1%
Evan Pettus
$5,655,665 Vol.
<1%
Dan Caine
$4,154,186 Vol.
<1%
Richard Grenell
$32,790,733 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
The US military capture of Nicolás Maduro in early January 2026 and the Supreme Tribunal of Justice's subsequent appointment of Vice President Delcy Rodríguez as interim president have anchored trader focus on these two outcomes for Venezuela's leadership by the end of the year. Rodríguez has consolidated authority through cabinet changes, military endorsements, oil and investment agreements with the United States, and diplomatic outreach including upcoming UN General Assembly engagements. US-backed transition talks between the government and segments of the opposition continue amid questions over the unpublished legal basis for the interim role and constitutional timelines for declaring a permanent vacancy or holding elections. Other figures register negligible probabilities due to limited institutional or international backing in the current environment.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Market Opened: Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
Volume
$97,356,241End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
The US military capture of Nicolás Maduro in early January 2026 and the Supreme Tribunal of Justice's subsequent appointment of Vice President Delcy Rodríguez as interim president have anchored trader focus on these two outcomes for Venezuela's leadership by the end of the year. Rodríguez has consolidated authority through cabinet changes, military endorsements, oil and investment agreements with the United States, and diplomatic outreach including upcoming UN General Assembly engagements. US-backed transition talks between the government and segments of the opposition continue amid questions over the unpublished legal basis for the interim role and constitutional timelines for declaring a permanent vacancy or holding elections. Other figures register negligible probabilities due to limited institutional or international backing in the current environment.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Volume
$97,356,241End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The US military capture of Nicolás Maduro in early January 2026 and the Supreme Tribunal of Justice's subsequent appointment of Vice President Delcy Rodríguez as interim president have anchored trader focus on these two outcomes for Venezuela's leadership by the end of the year. Rodríguez has consolidated authority through cabinet changes, military endorsements, oil and investment agreements with the United States, and diplomatic outreach including upcoming UN General Assembly engagements. US-backed transition talks between the government and segments of the opposition continue amid questions over the unpublished legal basis for the interim role and constitutional timelines for declaring a permanent vacancy or holding elections. Other figures register negligible probabilities due to limited institutional or international backing in the current environment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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