Voters in Washington state will decide in November 2026 on Initiative Measure No. IL26-638, which would bar students defined as biologically male from girls’ K-12 school sports teams and require sex verification through medical exams or testing. The measure, backed by Let’s Go Washington and similar efforts in Arizona and Colorado, overrides current WIAA policy allowing participation consistent with gender identity. Competitive odds near 50 percent reflect divided public sentiment on fairness in female athletics versus inclusion and privacy concerns, with opponents highlighting potential for invasive checks on all athletes and legal risks. Recent signature qualification and campaign framing around biological eligibility have balanced early momentum, while Democratic-leaning statewide trends, turnout patterns, and any late legal or endorsement shifts could alter the outcome before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Washington ballot initiative IL26-638 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would restrict certain school sports based on an individual's biological sex.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/). Voters in Washington state will decide in November 2026 on Initiative Measure No. IL26-638, which would bar students defined as biologically male from girls’ K-12 school sports teams and require sex verification through medical exams or testing. The measure, backed by Let’s Go Washington and similar efforts in Arizona and Colorado, overrides current WIAA policy allowing participation consistent with gender identity. Competitive odds near 50 percent reflect divided public sentiment on fairness in female athletics versus inclusion and privacy concerns, with opponents highlighting potential for invasive checks on all athletes and legal risks. Recent signature qualification and campaign framing around biological eligibility have balanced early momentum, while Democratic-leaning statewide trends, turnout patterns, and any late legal or endorsement shifts could alter the outcome before election day.
Washington ballot initiative IL26-638 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would restrict certain school sports based on an individual's biological sex.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/).
Market Opened: Jul 30, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Washington ballot initiative IL26-638 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would restrict certain school sports based on an individual's biological sex.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/). Voters in Washington state will decide in November 2026 on Initiative Measure No. IL26-638, which would bar students defined as biologically male from girls’ K-12 school sports teams and require sex verification through medical exams or testing. The measure, backed by Let’s Go Washington and similar efforts in Arizona and Colorado, overrides current WIAA policy allowing participation consistent with gender identity. Competitive odds near 50 percent reflect divided public sentiment on fairness in female athletics versus inclusion and privacy concerns, with opponents highlighting potential for invasive checks on all athletes and legal risks. Recent signature qualification and campaign framing around biological eligibility have balanced early momentum, while Democratic-leaning statewide trends, turnout patterns, and any late legal or endorsement shifts could alter the outcome before election day.
Washington ballot initiative IL26-638 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would restrict certain school sports based on an individual's biological sex.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/).
Volume
$0End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Voters in Washington state will decide in November 2026 on Initiative Measure No. IL26-638, which would bar students defined as biologically male from girls’ K-12 school sports teams and require sex verification through medical exams or testing. The measure, backed by Let’s Go Washington and similar efforts in Arizona and Colorado, overrides current WIAA policy allowing participation consistent with gender identity. Competitive odds near 50 percent reflect divided public sentiment on fairness in female athletics versus inclusion and privacy concerns, with opponents highlighting potential for invasive checks on all athletes and legal risks. Recent signature qualification and campaign framing around biological eligibility have balanced early momentum, while Democratic-leaning statewide trends, turnout patterns, and any late legal or endorsement shifts could alter the outcome before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions