The recent August 7 release of Netflix original sci-fi thriller The Last House, starring Greta Lee and Wagner Moura under director Louis Leterrier, drives the 98.5% market-implied odds, as the film quickly claimed the top US chart position with its high-concept survival premise and strong marketing push. Trader consensus reflects the typical early-week dominance of fresh, star-driven originals that generate immediate viewing momentum before older titles or catalog content can compete. Historical patterns show new Netflix movies often hold the weekly lead for their first full seven days unless streaming metrics reveal a sharp drop-off. An upset remains possible if late-week data shows rapid audience fatigue or if a competing title experiences an unexpected viral surge, though current indicators point to sustained frontrunner status through the period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhat will be the top US Netflix movie this week?
What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?
The Last House 98.7%
72 Hours 1.7%
A Toxic Love Story <1%
Ordinary Angels <1%
$18,917 Vol.
$18,917 Vol.
The Last House
99%
72 Hours
2%
A Toxic Love Story
<1%
Ordinary Angels
<1%
A Quiet Place: Day One
<1%
Elize: Shadows of a Woman
<1%
Terry McMillan Presents: His, Hers & Ours
<1%
The Debt Collector
<1%
Spider-Man: Homecoming
<1%
Five Nights at Freddy's 2
<1%
The Last House 98.7%
72 Hours 1.7%
A Toxic Love Story <1%
Ordinary Angels <1%
$18,917 Vol.
$18,917 Vol.
The Last House
99%
72 Hours
2%
A Toxic Love Story
<1%
Ordinary Angels
<1%
A Quiet Place: Day One
<1%
Elize: Shadows of a Woman
<1%
Terry McMillan Presents: His, Hers & Ours
<1%
The Debt Collector
<1%
Spider-Man: Homecoming
<1%
Five Nights at Freddy's 2
<1%
This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically.
The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies.
If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 7:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically.
The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies.
If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The recent August 7 release of Netflix original sci-fi thriller The Last House, starring Greta Lee and Wagner Moura under director Louis Leterrier, drives the 98.5% market-implied odds, as the film quickly claimed the top US chart position with its high-concept survival premise and strong marketing push. Trader consensus reflects the typical early-week dominance of fresh, star-driven originals that generate immediate viewing momentum before older titles or catalog content can compete. Historical patterns show new Netflix movies often hold the weekly lead for their first full seven days unless streaming metrics reveal a sharp drop-off. An upset remains possible if late-week data shows rapid audience fatigue or if a competing title experiences an unexpected viral surge, though current indicators point to sustained frontrunner status through the period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions