The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare holds overwhelming market-implied odds near 94% as the top US Netflix show this week, driven by its late-July 2026 premiere as a three-episode true-crime documentary on the 2022 University of Idaho student murders. The series leverages bodycam footage, family interviews, and law-enforcement cooperation to tap sustained public interest in the high-profile case, propelling it to the No. 1 spot on recent US Top 10 charts ahead of returning titles like Ransom Canyon Season 2. Traders appear to factor in the genre’s binge appeal and recency momentum, though an upset remains possible if viewership drops sharply mid-week or if a major new release or established performer surges in the final daily rankings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhat will be the top US Netflix show this week?
The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare: Season 1 93%
My Life with the Walter Boys: Season 3 4.8%
I Will Find You: Limited Series <1%
Ransom Canyon: Season 2 <1%

The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare: Season 1
93%

My Life with the Walter Boys: Season 3
5%

I Will Find You: Limited Series
<1%

Ransom Canyon: Season 2
<1%

The Hawk: Season 1
<1%

The Bombing of Pan Am 103: Limited Series
<1%

My Daughter's Father: Season 1
<1%

Alley Cats: Season 1
<1%

Our Sticky Love: Limited Series
<1%

Let's Marry Harry: Season 1
<1%
The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare: Season 1 93%
My Life with the Walter Boys: Season 3 4.8%
I Will Find You: Limited Series <1%
Ransom Canyon: Season 2 <1%

The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare: Season 1
93%

My Life with the Walter Boys: Season 3
5%

I Will Find You: Limited Series
<1%

Ransom Canyon: Season 2
<1%

The Hawk: Season 1
<1%

The Bombing of Pan Am 103: Limited Series
<1%

My Daughter's Father: Season 1
<1%

Alley Cats: Season 1
<1%

Our Sticky Love: Limited Series
<1%

Let's Marry Harry: Season 1
<1%
This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically.
The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows.
If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically.
The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows.
If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare holds overwhelming market-implied odds near 94% as the top US Netflix show this week, driven by its late-July 2026 premiere as a three-episode true-crime documentary on the 2022 University of Idaho student murders. The series leverages bodycam footage, family interviews, and law-enforcement cooperation to tap sustained public interest in the high-profile case, propelling it to the No. 1 spot on recent US Top 10 charts ahead of returning titles like Ransom Canyon Season 2. Traders appear to factor in the genre’s binge appeal and recency momentum, though an upset remains possible if viewership drops sharply mid-week or if a major new release or established performer surges in the final daily rankings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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