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What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

icon for What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

Aug 11

Aug 11

The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare: Season 1 93%

My Life with the Walter Boys: Season 3 4.8%

I Will Find You: Limited Series <1%

Ransom Canyon: Season 2 <1%

Polymarket
NEW

The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare: Season 1 93%

My Life with the Walter Boys: Season 3 4.8%

I Will Find You: Limited Series <1%

Ransom Canyon: Season 2 <1%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare: Season 1

The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare: Season 1

$1,000 Vol.

93%

icon for My Life with the Walter Boys: Season 3

My Life with the Walter Boys: Season 3

$545 Vol.

5%

icon for I Will Find You: Limited Series

I Will Find You: Limited Series

$337 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ransom Canyon: Season 2

Ransom Canyon: Season 2

$315 Vol.

<1%

icon for The Hawk: Season 1

The Hawk: Season 1

$324 Vol.

<1%

icon for The Bombing of Pan Am 103: Limited Series

The Bombing of Pan Am 103: Limited Series

$350 Vol.

<1%

icon for My Daughter's Father: Season 1

My Daughter's Father: Season 1

$393 Vol.

<1%

icon for Alley Cats: Season 1

Alley Cats: Season 1

$187 Vol.

<1%

icon for Our Sticky Love: Limited Series

Our Sticky Love: Limited Series

$187 Vol.

<1%

icon for Let's Marry Harry: Season 1

Let's Marry Harry: Season 1

$203 Vol.

<1%

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 11, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare holds overwhelming market-implied odds near 94% as the top US Netflix show this week, driven by its late-July 2026 premiere as a three-episode true-crime documentary on the 2022 University of Idaho student murders. The series leverages bodycam footage, family interviews, and law-enforcement cooperation to tap sustained public interest in the high-profile case, propelling it to the No. 1 spot on recent US Top 10 charts ahead of returning titles like Ransom Canyon Season 2. Traders appear to factor in the genre’s binge appeal and recency momentum, though an upset remains possible if viewership drops sharply mid-week or if a major new release or established performer surges in the final daily rankings.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 11, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$3,842
End Date
Aug 11, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 PM ET
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 11, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 11, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare holds overwhelming market-implied odds near 94% as the top US Netflix show this week, driven by its late-July 2026 premiere as a three-episode true-crime documentary on the 2022 University of Idaho student murders. The series leverages bodycam footage, family interviews, and law-enforcement cooperation to tap sustained public interest in the high-profile case, propelling it to the No. 1 spot on recent US Top 10 charts ahead of returning titles like Ransom Canyon Season 2. Traders appear to factor in the genre’s binge appeal and recency momentum, though an upset remains possible if viewership drops sharply mid-week or if a major new release or established performer surges in the final daily rankings.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 11, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$3,842
End Date
Aug 11, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 PM ET
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 11, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the top US Netflix show this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare: Season 1" at 93%, followed by "My Life with the Walter Boys: Season 3" at 5%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 93¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will be the top US Netflix show this week?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 5, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will be the top US Netflix show this week?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the top US Netflix show this week?" is "The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare: Season 1" at 93%, meaning the market assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "My Life with the Walter Boys: Season 3" at 5%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the top US Netflix show this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.