**Recent housing market data and limited time remaining until resolution have anchored trader consensus around the $1.125M–$1.161M range for Miami’s median home value on September 30.** As of late September 2026, Miami-Dade single-family medians have held near $680,000 with modest year-over-year gains, while broader city medians sit around $570,000–$590,000 amid elevated inventory and a buyer-leaning environment. Stable mortgage rates, flat-to-slightly rising asking prices near $635,000–$684,000, and typical seasonal patterns support the narrow band implied by 93.5% odds. With resolution just two days away, significant last-minute shifts are improbable absent an unexpected data revision or macroeconomic surprise, though a sharp inventory surge or policy shift could still push outcomes toward adjacent brackets.