Persistent high mortgage rates above 6% and elevated housing inventory have created a buyer’s market in Miami, moderating broad price gains and anchoring trader consensus on the $1.125M–$1.161M bin at 46.1% implied probability. Recent reports show median sale prices near $570k–$590k with flat-to-slightly negative year-over-year changes through August and early September 2026, though luxury single-family transactions remain resilient amid cash and international demand. High months of supply and slower contract velocity reinforce limited near-term upside, while the tight clustering around the two central bins reflects stable late-summer conditions ahead of the September 30 resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$1.125M - $1.161M 46.1%
$1.161M - $1.196M 27.2%
$1.089M - $1.125M 15%
$1.196M+ 1.8%
$81,964 Vol.
$81,964 Vol.
Oct 10, 2026
<$1.017M
2%
$1.017M - $1.053M
1%
$1.053M - $1.089M
<1%
$1.089M - $1.125M
15%
$1.125M - $1.161M
46%
$1.161M - $1.196M
27%
$1.196M+
2%
$1.125M - $1.161M 46.1%
$1.161M - $1.196M 27.2%
$1.089M - $1.125M 15%
$1.196M+ 1.8%
$81,964 Vol.
$81,964 Vol.
Oct 10, 2026
<$1.017M
$2,133 Vol.
2%
$1.017M - $1.053M
$3,594 Vol.
1%
$1.053M - $1.089M
$12,301 Vol.
<1%
$1.089M - $1.125M
$37,576 Vol.
15%
$1.125M - $1.161M
$19,000 Vol.
46%
$1.161M - $1.196M
$4,310 Vol.
27%
$1.196M+
$3,050 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/47)Persistent high mortgage rates above 6% and elevated housing inventory have created a buyer’s market in Miami, moderating broad price gains and anchoring trader consensus on the $1.125M–$1.161M bin at 46.1% implied probability. Recent reports show median sale prices near $570k–$590k with flat-to-slightly negative year-over-year changes through August and early September 2026, though luxury single-family transactions remain resilient amid cash and international demand. High months of supply and slower contract velocity reinforce limited near-term upside, while the tight clustering around the two central bins reflects stable late-summer conditions ahead of the September 30 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/47)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/47)
Market Opened: Jul 1, 2026, 3:54 PM ET
Volume
$81,964End Date
Oct 11, 2026Market Opened
Jul 1, 2026, 3:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/47)Persistent high mortgage rates above 6% and elevated housing inventory have created a buyer’s market in Miami, moderating broad price gains and anchoring trader consensus on the $1.125M–$1.161M bin at 46.1% implied probability. Recent reports show median sale prices near $570k–$590k with flat-to-slightly negative year-over-year changes through August and early September 2026, though luxury single-family transactions remain resilient amid cash and international demand. High months of supply and slower contract velocity reinforce limited near-term upside, while the tight clustering around the two central bins reflects stable late-summer conditions ahead of the September 30 resolution.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/47)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/47)
Volume
$81,964End Date
Oct 11, 2026Market Opened
Jul 1, 2026, 3:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high mortgage rates above 6% and elevated housing inventory have created a buyer’s market in Miami, moderating broad price gains and anchoring trader consensus on the $1.125M–$1.161M bin at 46.1% implied probability. Recent reports show median sale prices near $570k–$590k with flat-to-slightly negative year-over-year changes through August and early September 2026, though luxury single-family transactions remain resilient amid cash and international demand. High months of supply and slower contract velocity reinforce limited near-term upside, while the tight clustering around the two central bins reflects stable late-summer conditions ahead of the September 30 resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRelated
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